Blackhawks vs Lightning Prediction 11/5/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Blackhawks vs Lightning Prediction

The Blackhawks continue to get drilled defensively; the losses are piling up, and I doubt playing on the end of a back-to-back helps matters. The Blackhawks are fade material until further notice. In fact, only the Canucks have lost more money for NHL bettors this season than the Blackhawks. You should not be betting on the Blackhawks. Nothing more to say. The Lightning have a long history of beating up on the teams they’re supposed to beat up on. Expect no different here. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value on Thursday night.

Chicago Blackhawks Betting Preview

The Chicago Blackhawks lost to the Avalanche and Panthers, and they play the Hurricanes next. The Blackhawks have lost 7 of their last 8 games.

The Chicago Blackhawks are averaging 2.25 goals per game and are scoring 10 percent of their power play opportunities. Roman Kantserov leads Chicago with 7 goals, Patrick Kane has 8 assists, and Anton Frondell has 33 shots on goal. Defensively, the Chicago Blackhawks are allowing 3.94 goals per game and are killing 78.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Spencer Knight has given up 43 goals on 397 shots faced, and Arvid Soderblom has allowed 14 goals on 82 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Red Wings, lost to the Predators, and they play the Wild next. The Lightning have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.71 goals per game and are scoring on 16.3 percent of their power-play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 8 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 16 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 38 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.14 goals per game and are killing 76.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 32 goals on 264 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 9 goals on 78 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Blackhawks have lost each of their last 12 night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have won each of their last seven home games.
• The Blackhawks have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The home team has covered the puck line in four of the Lightning’s last five games.
• The Blackhawks have lost the second period in each of their last seven Thursday games as underdogs.

Why the Chicago Blackhawks will win

• The Blackhawks have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against the Lightning.
• The Lightning have lost three of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
• The Blackhawks have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Lightning.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 night games at Benchmark International Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Lightning have lost the second period in four of their last five night games at Benchmark International Arena following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last seven games at Benchmark International Arena following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Blackhawks’ last eight games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 10 games against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Blackhawks’ last nine games following a road loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• John Carlson has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last three games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances against Central Division opponents at Benchmark International Arena.
• Brandon Hagel ranks T6th in the league for Game-Winning Goals (2) this season.

Chicago Blackhawks Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Donato has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances at Benchmark International Arena.
• Patrick Kane has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances at Benchmark International Arena.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.830).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.29).
• The Chicago Blackhawks rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (3.94).
• The Chicago Blackhawks rank 32nd in the league for power-play goals this season (5).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay -1.5