Avalanche vs Wild Prediction 5/11/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate an Avalanche vs Wild prediction for this NHL game on Monday, May 11th at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL playoff matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are up 2-1 in this series after they won two of the first three games by scores of 9-6, 5-2, and 1-5. In game three, Colorado cut the deficit to 3-1 in the second period, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Avalanche recorded 36 shots on goal, won 61.5% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado got their lone goal from MacKinnon, while Wedgewood stopped nine out of 12 shots and Blackwood stopped 12 out of 13 in relief. 

Prior to this series, Colorado swept the Kings in four games by scores of 2-1, 2-1, 4-2, and 5-1. The Avalanche have won nine of their last ten games and they finished first in the Central standings with 121 points. Colorado scored 3.63 goals per game and they allowed 2.40 goals against per game, while also going 17.1% on the power play and 84.6% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led the Avalanche with five goals and six assists, while Gabriel Landeskog has added three goals and five assists in the playoffs. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Scott Wedgewood, who is 6-1 with a 2.45 goals against average and a .911 save percentage this postseason. 

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview

The Minnesota Wild are down 1-2 in this series after they won game three by a score of 5-1 on Saturday. Minnesota scored two goals in the first and second period, before adding an empty net goal to seal the win in the third. The Wild recorded 26 shots on goal, won 38.5% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Minnesota got goals from Boldy, Hartman, Kaprizov, Faber, and Hughes, while Wallstedt stopped 35 out of 36 shots, which was a .972 save percentage.

Prior to this series, Minnesota defeated the Stars in six games by scores of 6-1, 2-4, 3-4, 3-2, 4-2, and 5-2. The Wild have won four of their last six games and they finished third in the Central standings with 104 points. Minnesota scored 3.27 goals per game and they allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 25.2% on the power play and 79.8% on the penalty kill this season. Kirill Kaprizov has led the Wild with four goals and 10 assists, while Quinn Hughes has added four goals and nine assists in the playoffs. The projected starting goalie for Minnesota is Jesper Wallstedt, who is 5-3 with a 2.61 goals against average and a .913 save percentage this postseason. 

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

• The Wild have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Avalanche have lost two of their last three games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Wild have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Avalanche have lost the third period in five of their last six night games following a road loss.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won nine of their last 10 games.
• The Wild have lost four of their last five night games following a home win.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at Grand Casino Arena following a home win.
• The Wild have lost the third period in six of their last seven games as home underdogs following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Wild’s last eight night games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Avalanche’s last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 12 of the Wild’s last 13 night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the Avalanche’s last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Boldy has scored the last goal in each of the Wild’s last three home playoff games.
• Matthew Boldy has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances at Grand Casino Arena.
• Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Wild as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Ryan Hartman has scored three goals against the Avalanche this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Gabriel Landeskog has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Avalanche as favorites against the Wild.
• Nathan MacKinnon has scored a goal in each of the Avalanche’s last seven playoff games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Minnesota Wild are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Minnesota Wild rank 2nd in the league in save percentage this season (.909).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.62%).
• The Colorado Avalanche are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.

Avalanche vs Wild Prediction 

Minnesota was able to get a huge win on Saturday to keep this series close and they will look to defend home ice once again here. The Wild were 23-10-8 at home this year, while the Avalanche were 29-7-5 on the road. Colorado has won nine of their last ten games and their offense is elite, but Minnesota did a great job of holding them to one goal in game three. Both teams are extremely talented, but I liked what I saw from Minnesota and I think they can even this series with another win. Take the Wild here.

David Racey's Pick: Wild ML