Avalanche vs Stars Prediction 4/19/25 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate an Avalanche vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 19th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the 1st round of the playoffs. 

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 49-29-4 this year after they defeated Anaheim by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Colorado trailed 2-0 in the third period, but they scored four goals in the final ten minutes to escape with the win. The Avalanche outshot Anaheim by a total of 25-21, won 48.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Coyle, Drury, Aamodt, and Johnson, while Wedgewood stopped 19 out of 21 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Avalanche lost to the Kings by a score of 5-4 and the Canucks by a score of 4-1. Colorado has lost three of their last five games and they finished third in the Central standings with 102 points. Colorado has scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 2.82 goals against per game, while also going 24.8% on the power play and 79.8% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 32 goals, 84 assists, and 320 shots on goal, while Cale Makar has added 30 goals, 62 assists, and 246 shots on goal. Mackenzie Blackwood is 22-12-3 with a 2.33 goals against average and a .913 save percentage this year. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 50-26-6 this season after they lost to Nashville by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Dallas led 1-0 just 16 seconds into the game, but they allowed the last five goals for the loss. The Stars were outshot by a total of 34-30, won 53.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-6 on the power play in the game. Dallas got their lone goal from Marchment, while Oettinger stopped 17 out of 22 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Stars lost to the Red Wings by a score of 6-4 and the Hockey Club by a score of 5-3. Dallas has lost seven games in a row and they finished second in the Central standings with 106 points. Dallas has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 30 goals, 52 assists, and 152 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson (out) has added 35 goals, 45 assists, and 211 shots on goal. Robertson was injured in their last game against Nashville and is going to be a huge loss for the Stars to start this series. Jake Oettinger is 36-18-4 with a 2.59 goals against average and a .909 save percentage this season. 

Why the Avalanche will beat the Stars 

• The Stars have lost each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Avalanche have won seven of their last nine Game 1s of a playoff series.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at American Airlines Center.
• The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Avalanche’s last six games.
• The Stars have lost the second period in each of their last five games as underdogs against Central Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last six night games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Avalanche’s last six road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last six games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last seven games at American Airlines Center.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five games against Central Division opponents at American Airlines Center.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one point in 12 of the Stars’ last 13 playoff games against the Avalanche.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
• Wyatt Johnston has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Stars this season (3).

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Valeri Nichushkin has scored at least one goal in eight of his last nine playoff appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded an assist in each of the Avalanche’s last 11 night Game 1s of a playoff series.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last 11 night Game 1s of a playoff series.
• Artturi Lehkonen ranks 1st in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+36) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.32).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (25.9).

Avalanche vs Stars Prediction 

Dallas comes into this game after having the better regular season and they will be at home, but they are a slight underdog for this game. The Stars are 28-10-3 at home this year, while the Avalanche are 23-17-1 on the road. Dallas is dealing with plenty of adversity right now, as they have lost seven games in a row and will be without their best player. On the other side, Colorado is very healthy and they finished the season with plenty of momentum after that big comeback win. I don’t like what I have seen from Dallas over the last two weeks, so give me Colorado to take game one. 

David Racey's Pick: Avalanche ML