Toronto Maple Leafs (40-24-3) vs Colorado Avalanche (41-24-3)
Game Info: Wednesday, March 19, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -102 / Colorado Avalanche -118 — Over/Under: 6.5
In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, March 19th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview
The Colorado Avalanche are 41-24-3 this year after they defeated Dallas in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Colorado led 3-1 in the third period, but they allowed two goals late in the third, before winning in overtime. The Avalanche outshot Dallas by a total of 35-22, won 56.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Drouin, Necas, Nichushkin, and Makar, while Wedgewood stopped 19 out of 22 shots in the win.
Prior to that game, the Avalanche defeated the Flames by a score of 4-2 but did lose to the Wild by a score of 2-1 before that. Colorado has won eight of their last nine games and they are currently third in the Central standings with 85 points. Colorado has scored 3.34 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 23.4% on the power play and 79.4% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 27 goals, 76 assists, and 274 shots on goal, while Cale Makar has added 25 goals, 53 assists, and 207 shots on goal. Mackenzie Blackwood is 18-7-3 with a 2.17 goals against average and a .919 save percentage this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 40-24-3 this season after they defeated Calgary by a score of 6-2 in their last game. Toronto was tied at one after the first period, but they did score the next five goals to pull away with the win. The Maple Leafs outshot Calgary by a total of 29-26, won 71.2% of the face-offs, and went 3-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Domi, Matthews (2), McMann, Nylander, and Robertson, while Woll stopped 24 out of 26 shots in the win.
Prior to that game, the Maple Leafs lost to the Senators by a score of 4-2 and the Panthers by a score of 3-2. Toronto has lost five of their last seven games and they are currently tied with Tampa Bay for second in the Atlantic standings with 83 points. Toronto has scored 3.21 goals per game and they have allowed 2.96 goals against per game, while also going 25.3% on the power play and 78.4% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with 21 goals, 61 assists, and 145 shots on goal, while William Nylander has added 38 goals, 33 assists, and 220 shots on goal. Anthony Stolarz is 13-8-3 with a 2.39 goals against average and a .918 save percentage this year.
Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Avalanche
- The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a home win.
- The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Maple Leafs have won the second period in six of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games at Scotiabank Arena following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Avalanche’s last nine games as road favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Avalanche’s last five games following an overtime win.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five Wednesday games against Central Division opponents.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games.
- Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
- Valeri Nichushkin has scored a goal in six of his last eight appearances with the Avalanche as road favorites.
- Valeri Nichushkin has recorded at least one point in nine of his last 10 appearances in road games.
Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction
Colorado rolls into this matchup after winning eight of their last nine games, but they will be on the road for this contest. The Avalanche are 18-14-1 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 21-13-1 at home. Toronto is coming off of a dominating win over the Flames in their last game, but they have struggled over the last two weeks. Both teams are very similar when looking at the numbers, but I think Toronto can build some momentum from their last game and they have been very good at home this season. Take the Leafs here.