Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 4/15/25 NHL Picks

Buffalo Sabres (35-38-7) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (50-26-4)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 15, 2025 at 7:00 pm (KeyBank Center)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +140 / Toronto Maple Leafs -166 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Buffalo Sabres meet Tuesday in NHL action from the KeyBank Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres prediction.

Matchup History

The Toronto Maple Leafs have won both meetings between these two teams this season, first in Toronto on December 15th, 2024, by a final score of 5-3 before a 6-3 win in Buffalo just five days later. The wins made it four in a row for the Maple Leafs in this head-to-head matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to build on their 4-1 win over the Carolina Hurricanes last time out to improve to 50-26-4 on the year. After this game, the Maple Leafs will finish the regular season with a home date against the Detroit Red Wings.

Maple Leafs Win Three Straight & 7 Of Last 8

Mitch Marner has a team-high 99 points with 26 goals and a team-high 73 assists while William Nylander has 84 points with a team-high 45 goals. John Tavares has 74 points with 38 goals and 36 assists and Auston Matthews has 75 points with 31 goals and 44 assists. Matthew Knies has 55 points with 29 goals while Morgan Rielly has 41 points with 7 goals and 34 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 20-8-3 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.21 GAA and a .923 save percentage while Joseph Woll is 26-14-1 with a 2.72 GAA and a .909 save percentage and Dennis Hildeby has a 3-3 record, a 3.33 GAA and an .878 save percentage.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight games.
  • The Sabres have lost five of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last three games between the Maple Leafs and Sabres.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Morgan Rielly has recorded an assist in eight of his last nine appearances at KeyBank Center.
  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in six of the Maple Leafs' last seven games against the Sabres.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs' last 11 games against the Sabres.
  • William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (10) this season.

Buffalo Sabres Recap

The Buffalo Sabres come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-4 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Lightning last time out to slip to 35-38-7 on the year. After this game, the Sabres will finish their season with a home game against the Philadelphia Flyers.

Sabres Lose Third In A Row

Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 72 points including a team-leading 44 goals along with 28 assists while Alex Tuch is right behind with 65 points including 35 goals and 30 assists. JJ Peterka has 66 points with 26 goals and 40 assists and Rasmus Dahlin has 68 points with 17 goals and 51 assists. Jason Zucker’s also added 52 points with 21 goals and 31 assists. Devon Levi has gone 2-7 in net for the Sabres with a 4.12 GAA and an .872 save percentage while Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 24-23-5 with a 3.20 GAA and an .886 save percentage as well on the year. James Reimer is 9-8-2 with a 2.84 GAA and a .904 save percentage.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

  • The Sabres have won each of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost two of their last three games as road favorites.
  • The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Tage Thompson has scored at least one goal in each of the Sabres' last seven night games at KeyBank Center.
  • Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres' last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Tage Thompson has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres' last 10 games as home underdogs.
  • Alex Tuch ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (4) this season.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Maple Leafs' last eight games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Sabres' last four games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Three of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. It’s a bit of a scary proposition fading a Buffalo team that’s not playing with any pressure and one that’s won 7 straight at home, but the Maple Leafs are hot right now regardless of the location and have a chance to lock up their first division title in a non-covid year in 25 seasons. I think this Maple Leaf team wants to lock up the division and not have to look over their shoulders or leave anything to chance. Give me the Maple Leafs here.

Chris’s Pick Toronto Maple Leafs -166

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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