Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 4/15/25 NHL Picks

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview 

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Sabres, lost to the Red Wings, and they play the Rangers next. The Lighting have lost four of their last six games, and this is their last regular season home game. 

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.59 goals per game and are scoring on 26.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 41 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 83 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 222 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.64 goals per game and are killing 81.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 135 goals on 1,692 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 54 goals on 532 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Panthers have lost seven of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has won seven of the Panthers' last eight games.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in nine of their last 12 night games at Amalie Arena.
• The Lightning have won the third period in seven of their last eight games against the Panthers at Amalie Arena when leading after the second period.

Why the Florida Panthers will win

• The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Panthers have won each of their last two games as road underdogs against the Lightning.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in each of their last 13 games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in three of their last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Report

The Lightning will be without Oliver Bjorkstrand and Luke Glendening, while Darren Raddysh is questionable. 

The Panthers will be without Matthew Tkachuk, Eetu Luostarinen, Anton Lundell, Brad Marchand, Niko Mikkola, and Mackie Samoskevich.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Panthers continue to deal with injuries and it feels like they’re just trying to get healthy to make an honest effort to defend their title. I doubt the Panthers will give their best effort on the end of a back-to-back and fresh off a tough loss to the Rangers. The Lightning are rested and they’re a tough out at home where they’re 28-8-4 on the season. Even with the Panthers winning seven of the last nine games against the Lightning, this is a tough ask for Florida given the injury situation. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.