Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction NHL Picks 5/11/24

Colorado Avalanche (55-27-7) vs Dallas Stars (57-24-10)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -135 / Dallas Stars +115 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: TNT Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article we will formulate a Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, May 11th at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Stars recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Avalanche recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Dallas
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Colorado
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Dallas and Colorado
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Dallas and Colorado

Stars Look to Stop the Trend

The Dallas Stars were able to bounce back from their game one loss with a 5-3 win in game two, but they have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. If that trend continues here, the Stars are due for a loss. Dallas led 3-0 in game one, but wasn’t able to hold on for the win. In game two, Dallas led 4-0 in the third period, but Colorado did cut the lead to 4-3 with a few minutes left. The Stars recorded 32 shots on goal and went 2-5 on the power play in the game two. 

Dallas defeated Vegas in seven games in the first round, winning two of the three road games in the series. The Stars are scoring 2.67 goals per game, while going 30.4% on the power play and 70.6% on the penalty kill. Wyatt Johnston and Miro Heiskanen have led Dallas with eight points, while Jason Robertson has added seven points in the postseason. 

Colorado is Great at Home 

The Colorado Avalanche were able to complete a great comeback in game one of this series, but they fell just short in game two. Colorado scored the final four goals in game one to steal home ice, but they fell down 4-0 in game two and couldn’t come back. The Avalanche have been great offensively this season and they have scored 11 goals in two home games during this postseason. 

The Avalanche defeated the Winnipeg Jets in five games in the opening round, winning games two, three, four, and five and scoring at least five goals in each game in the series. Colorado is scoring 5.00 goals per game, while going 38.1% on the power play and 72.7% on the penalty kill. Cale Makar has led Colorado with three goals, nine assists, and 22 shots on goal, while Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen have added 11 points in the playoffs. 

Starting Goalies

The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Alexandar Georgiev, who is 5-2-0 with a 3.10 goals against average and an .891 save percentage. Georgiev has had a great season, but his save percentage in the playoffs hasn’t been the best. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 5-4-0 with a 2.24 goals against average and a .914 save percentage. Oettinger has four losses so far in the playoffs, but he has been very good for Dallas. 

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Valeri Nichushkin has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche's last eight games.
  • Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche's last seven games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • Valeri Nichushkin has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche's last nine games.
  • Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for multi-point games (44) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Seguin has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances against the Avalanche.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded an assist in each of the Stars' last five playoff games against Central Division opponents.
  • Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars' last nine playoff games against the Avalanche.
  • Jason Robertson ranks 1st in the Western Conference for shootout goals (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.68).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.46%).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.59).
  • The Dallas Stars are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 

Dallas comes into this game tied at one in the series, but Colorado has been able to control the momentum in the second half of the first two games. The Avalanche need to get off to a better start in this game, but they play their best at home, going 31-9-1 during the regular season. Dallas was very good on the road during the regular season, going 26-10-5, but this is going to be a very tough situation for them. The Avalanche have the momentum with how they ended game two, and I think they are going to play a full 60 minutes here. My Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche prediction is for Colorado to win game three. 

David’s Pick Avalanche ML

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NFL Week 6 2024 Picks & Predictions | Picks From The DawgHouse NFL Edition

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss