Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction NHL Picks 3/30/24

Buffalo Sabres (34-34-5) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (41-22-9)

Game Info: Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 7:00 pm (KeyBank Center)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +135 / Toronto Maple Leafs -155 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres betting prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 30th at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Maple Leafs recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Sabres recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Buffalo
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Buffalo
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Toronto and Buffalo

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 41-22-9 this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Toronto had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they scored the final three goals in the game for the win. The Maple Leafs out shot Washington by a total of 48-24 and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto lost to New Jersey by a score of 6-3 and Carolina by a score of 2-1 in the two games prior to Washington. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.63 goals per game and they are allowing 3.13 goals against per game, while going 25.2% on the power play and 76.5% on the penalty kill. Auston Matthews has led Toronto with 59 goals, 35 assists, and 315 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 19-6-7 this year with a 3.12 goals against average and an .889 save percentage. 

Sabres Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 35-34-5 this year after they defeated the Devils by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 2-0 after the first period, but they scored the last five goals in the game for the win. The Sabres out shot New Jersey by a total of 36-30 and went 3-3 on the penalty kill in the game. Buffalo lost to Ottawa by a score of 6-2 in the game prior to New Jersey, but did beat Calgary before that. The Sabres are scoring 2.96 goals per game and they are allowing 3.03 goals against per game, while going 16.1% on the power play and 78.8% on the penalty kill. Rasmus Dahlin has led Buffalo with 17 goals, 36 assists, and 213 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who is 24-19-3 this season with a 2.57 goals against average and a .911 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Bertuzzi has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs' last five games as favorites.
  • Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs' last six games.
  • Morgan Rielly has recorded an assist in seven of the Maple Leafs' last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.10%).
  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.20).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.63).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.24%).

Maple Leafs vs Sabres Betting Prediction

Buffalo is coming off of an impressive comeback victory against New Jersey on Friday night, but they will be on a back to back in this game. The Sabres have played better hockey over the last month or so, but they are only 18-18-1 at home this year. Toronto has a four point lead for third in the Atlantic and they have been very good on the road this year, going 21-9-6 away from home. The Maple Leafs have dropped two of their last three games, but they are the much better offensive team in this matchup. Take the Leafs here. 

David’s Pick Maple Leafs ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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