Maple Leafs vs Capitals Prediction NHL Picks 3/20/24

Washington Capitals (33-25-9) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (38-19-9)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 20, 2024 at 7:30 pm (Capital One Arena)

Betting Odds: Washington Capitals +118 / Toronto Maple Leafs -145 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals meet Wednesday in NHL action at the Capital One Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs recently beat the Flyers and Canadiens while losing to the Hurricanes. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.58 goals per game and are scoring on 26.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 55 goals, Mitch Marner has 51 assists and William Nylander has 267 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.12 goals per game and are killing 76.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ilya Samsonov has allowed 98 goals on 878 shots faced, while Martin Jones has given up 50 goals on 537 shots.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are coming off wins over the Kraken, Canucks and Flames. The Washington Capitals are averaging 2.66 goals per game and are scoring on 19.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Dylan Strome leads Washington with 23 goals, John Carlson has 35 assists and Alex Ovechkin has 225 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 3.04 goals per game and are killing 79.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Darcy Kuemper has given up 96 goals on 870 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 89 goals on 1,044 shots.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in four of the Capitals' last five games as home underdogs.
  • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Capitals' last nine home games.
  • John Carlson has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals' last seven night games at Capital One Arena.
  • John Carlson ranks 1st in the Metropolitan Division for average time on ice (25:39) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for Goals (55) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Capitals rank 29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.66).
  • The Washington Capitals rank 30th in the league for shots per game this season (27.1).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.57).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.18%).

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Maple Leafs vs Capitals prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs are the better team and should be favored, but we're getting the Capitals in the home underdog role. The Caps have played good hockey over the last couple of weeks and have played themselves back in the playoff conversation. The Caps have won 3 straight games, and they've also won 5 of their last 7 games in the underdog role. Yes, the Maple Leafs are more talented and beat the Caps in 6 of the last 7 meetings. The value is still with the Capitals at home and the better price given their current form and the fact they have something to play for at this stage. Give me the Capitals.

Randy’s Pick Washington Capitals +118

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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