Bruins vs Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 3/4/24

Toronto Maple Leafs (35-17-8) vs Boston Bruins (35-13-14)

Game Info: Monday, March 4, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -135 / Boston Bruins +115 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Bruins will play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday night at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Boston has lost four of their last five games, while Toronto has won nine of their last ten. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Bruins vs Maple Leafs prediction.

Bruins Preview

The Boston Bruins are 35-13-14 this season after they lost to the Islanders by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Boston allowed the first five goals in this game, but they did score late in the second period to avoid the shutout. The Bruins were out shot by a total of 26-23 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Boston defeated Vegas by a score of 5-4 in the game prior to New York, but did lose the previous three games. The Bruins are scoring 3.31 goals per game and they are allowing 2.76 goals against per game, while going 23.3% on the power play and 81.4% on the penalty kill. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 38 goals, 49 assists, and 302 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Jeremy Swayman, who is 19-6-8 this year with a 2.53 goals against average and a .919 save percentage. 

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 35-17-8 this year after they defeated the Rangers in a shootout by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Toronto had a 3-2 lead late in the third, but New York scored with about a minute left to force overtime, before the Leafs won in a shootout. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 35-34 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto has won nine of their last ten games, scoring at least four goals in all nine wins. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.65 goals per game and they are allowing 3.15 goals against per game, while going 28.4% on the power play and 78% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 33 goals, 50 assists, and 245 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 15-5-6 this season with a 3.23 goals against average and a .883 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • William Nylander has scored at least one goal in seven of the Maple Leafs' last eight games as favorites.
  • Morgan Rielly has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Morgan Rielly has recorded a point in each of his last six appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for Goals (53) this season.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • David Pastrnak has scored a goal in three of the Bruins' last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins' last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Brad Marchand has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with the Bruins as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
  • David Pastrnak ranks T2nd in the league for multi-point games (30) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.65).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.40%).
  • The Boston Bruins are one of three teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Boston Bruins rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.76).

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Betting Prediction

Toronto comes into this matchup as one of the hottest teams in the NHL and they have won nine of their last ten games. The Maple Leafs are 17-11-2 at home, while Boston is 16-6-9 on the road. The Bruins have been solid on the road this season, but they have struggled over the last couple of weeks. Boston has lost eight of their last eleven games and they have scored three goals or fewer in seven of those losses. I know the Bruins are a solid team, but I can’t go against this Toronto team with how they are playing right now. Take the Leafs at home. 

David’s Pick Maple Leafs ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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