Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction NHL Picks 2/24/24

Colorado Avalanche (35-18-5) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (32-16-8)

Game Info: Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -120 / Toronto Maple Leafs +100 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday night at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Toronto has won six games in a row, while Colorado has won two of their last three. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Maple Leafs vs Avalanche prediction.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 32-16-8 this year after they defeated Vegas by a score of 7-3 in their last game. Toronto led 4-0 after the first period and they were able to cruise for the easy win. The Maple Leafs out shot Vegas by a total of 42-26 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto has also defeated Arizona, St. Louis (twice), Anaheim, and Philadelphia during this winning streak. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.68 goals per game and they are allowing 3.13 goals against per game, while going 28.4% on the power play and 77.6% on the penalty kill. Auston Matthews has led Toronto with 52 goals, 24 assists, and 238 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 13-4-6 this year with a 3.19 goals against average and a .882 save percentage. 

Avalanche Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 35-18-5 this season after they lost to Detroit in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Colorado led 1-0 in the third period, but gave up the tying goal late and lost in overtime. The Avalanche out shot Detroit by a total of 31-30 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado defeated Vancouver by a score of 3-1 and Arizona by a score of 4-3 in the two games prior to Detroit. The Avalanche are scoring 3.64 goals per game and they are allowing 3.16 goals against per game, while going 23.1% on the power play and 81.6% on the penalty kill. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 34 goals, 59 assists, and 280 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Alexandar Georgiev, who is 30-13-3 this year with a 2.90 goals against average and a .899 save percentage. 

Colorado Avalanche Team Facts

  • The Avalanche have won 13 of their last 14 games at Ball Arena.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Avalanche.
  • The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Maple Leafs and Avalanche.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games at Ball Arena.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the first period in four of their last five night games.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs' last nine night games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Artturi Lehkonen has scored at least one goal in each of his last three appearances against Atlantic Division opponents at Ball Arena.
  • Gabriel Landeskog has recorded at least one point in 27 of his last 32 appearances with the Avalanche as home favorites.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche's last 14 games at Ball Arena.
  • Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for multi-assist games (17) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs' last five games.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded two or more assists in each of his last six appearances.
  • Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Avalanche are one of only two teams to win 15+ games when tied or trailing after Period 2 this season.
  • The Colorado Avalanche are one of only two teams to win 5+ games when trailing after Period 2 this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only two teams with two players to score at least 30 goals this season (Auston Matthews, William Nylander).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.32).

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Betting Prediction

Toronto comes into this matchup as one of the hottest teams in the NHL and they are looking for their seventh straight win. The Maple Leafs have scored at least four goals in six straight games and they will look to stay hot here. Colorado is coming off of a loss to Detroit in their last game, but they play their best hockey at home, where they are 22-5-0 this season. This should be a great game between two teams looking to make a deep run in the playoffs, but I have to go with Colorado here. The Avalanche are great at home and I think Toronto is due for an off night. Take Colorado in this game. 

David’s Pick Avalanche ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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