Maple Leafs vs Flames Prediction NHL Picks 1/18/24

Calgary Flames (21-18-5) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (21-13-8)

Game Info: Thursday, January 18, 2024 at 9:00 pm (Scotiabank Saddledome)

Betting Odds: Calgary Flames +104 / Toronto Maple Leafs -125 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Calgary Flames on Thursday night at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta. Toronto has lost four games in a row, while Calgary is on a four game winning streak. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Maple Leafs vs Flames prediction.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 21-13-8 this year after they lost to Edmonton by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Toronto led 2-0 in the second period, but they allowed the last four goals in the game for the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 32-27 and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto has also lost to Detroit, Colorado, and the New York Islanders during this losing streak. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.48 goals per game and they are allowing 3.26 goals against per game, while going 25.6% on the power play and 77.3% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 21 goals, 36 assists, and 184 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Martin Jones, who is 8-5-1 this season with a 2.36 goals against average and a .922 save percentage. 

Flames Preview

The Calgary Flames are 21-18-5 this season after they defeated Arizona in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Calgary trailed 2-0 in the third period, but scored two goals in about a minute to tie the game and they won in overtime. The Flames out shot Arizona by a total of 30-25 and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Calgary has also defeated Vegas, Arizona, and Ottawa during this winning streak. The Flames are scoring 3.16 goals per game and they are allowing 3.07 goals against per game, while going 13.7% on the power play and 84.6% on the penalty kill. Blake Coleman has led the Flames with 20 goals, 18 assists, and 106 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Calgary is Jacob Markstrom, who is 13-11-2 this year with a 2.59 goals against average and a .912 save percentage. 

Calgary Flames Team Facts

  • The Flames have won five of their last six games as home underdogs.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 18 games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
  • The Flames have won the third period in seven of their last eight night games at Scotiabank Saddledome following a win.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Flames' last nine home games against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a road loss.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the third period in four of their last five games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in 15 of the Maple Leafs' last 16 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Blake Coleman has scored at least one goal in eight of the Flames' last nine night games.
  • Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one point in each of the Flames' last seven games.
  • Elias Lindholm has recorded at least one assist in five of the Flames' last six night games.
  • Yegor Sharangovich ranks T1st in the Western Conference for shootout goals (3) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Calle Jarnkrok has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances against the Flames.
  • John Tavares has recorded at least one point in seven of the Maple Leafs' last eight games as favorites against the Flames.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances against the Flames.
  • Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Calgary Flames rank T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (10).
  • The Calgary Flames are one of only two teams to win 7+ games when trailing after Period 1 this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only three teams to win 3+ games when trailing after Period 2 this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.24).

Maple Leafs vs Flames Betting Prediction

Calgary comes into this game on a four game winning streak and they will have home ice advantage, where they are 11-7-1 this year. Toronto has lost four games in a row and they have had a ton trouble giving up two goal leads. The Maple Leafs have scored three goals or fewer in four straight games and I really don’t like what I am seeing from them right now. The Flames have held their last three opponents to two goals or fewer and I think they get the job done once again in this matchup. Take Calgary here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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