Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction - NHL Picks 1/14/24

Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-8) vs Detroit Red Wings (21-16-5)

Game Info: Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -178 / Detroit Red Wings +146 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Detroit Red Wings will play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday night at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Detroit has won four of their last five games, while Toronto has lost two games in a row. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Red Wings vs Maple Leafs prediction. 

Red Wings Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 21-16-5 this year after they defeated the Kings by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Detroit was tied 1-1 after the first period, but they were able to score four goals in the second period to pull away for the win. The Red Wings were out shot by a total of 36-30 and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Detroit lost to Edmonton by a score of 3-2 in the game prior to LA, but did defeat Anaheim, Los Angeles, and San Jose before that. The Red Wings are scoring 3.51 goals per game and they are allowing 3.39 goals against per game, while going 21.5% in the power play and 81.9% on the penalty kill. Alex DeBrincat has led Detroit with 17 goals, 21 assists, and 126 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is James Reimer, who is 3-6-2 this year with a 3.42 goals against average and a .889 save percentage. 

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 21-11-8 this season after they lost to Colorado by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Toronto led 3-0 in the first period, but couldn’t generate any offense in the last two periods for the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 33-29 and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto lost to the Islanders by a score of 4-3 in the game prior to Colorado, but they did defeat San Jose (twice), Anaheim, and LA before that. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.56 goals per game and they are allowing 3.18 goals against per game, while going 26.7% on the power play and 76.8% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 21 goals, 36 assists, and 169 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 5-2-6 this year with a 3.94 goals against average and a .862 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The favorites have won the first period in five of the Maple Leafs' last six games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in 17 of the Maple Leafs' last 18 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Detroit Red Wings Team Facts

  • The Red Wings have won four of their last five games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Red Wings' last 13 games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • John Tavares has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs' last four home games against the Red Wings.
  • John Tavares has recorded at least one point in each of his last 13 home appearances against the Red Wings.
  • Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs' last nine games against the Red Wings at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (11) this season.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Alex DeBrincat has recorded at least one point in eight of the Red Wings' last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Lucas Raymond has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings' last six Sunday games.
  • Alex DeBrincat has the most multi-goal games for the Red Wings this season (4).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.72%).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only two teams to win 3+ games when trailing after Period 2 this season.
  • The Detroit Red Wings rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.31).
  • The Detroit Red Wings rank 5th in the league for power play goals this season (36).

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Betting Prediction

These two teams come into this game on a back to back after playing last night, but Detroit comes in with all of the momentum. The Red Wings picked up a big win against the Kings, while Toronto blew a 3-0 lead at home to Colorado. Detroit is 10-9-1 on the road, while Toronto is 10-8-2 at home. The Red Wings have been pretty inconsistent so far this year, but they are playing very well right now and have allowed three goals or fewer in five straight games. The Maple Leafs have lost two games in a row, but they are a very high scoring team. I think the Red Wings have a very good shot to win this game, so I am going to take them with the plus money. There are only two NHL games on the schedule for today, so you can take this pick and use it as a part of a parlay.

David’s Pick Red Wings ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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