Senators vs Sabres Prediction - NHL Picks 1/11/24

Buffalo Sabres (17-20-4) vs Ottawa Senators (14-22)

Game Info: Thursday, January 11, 2024 at 7:00 pm (KeyBank Center)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres -125 / Ottawa Senators +104 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+

The Ottawa Senators will play the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday night at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. Ottawa has lost four games in a row, while Buffalo has won two of their last three. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Senators vs Sabres prediction.

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 14-22-0 this season after they lost to Calgary by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Ottawa led 3-2 heading into the third period, but allowed four goals in the final period for the loss. The Senators were out shot by a total of 36-33 and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa has also lost to Edmonton, Seattle, and Vancouver during this losing streak. The Senators are scoring 3.28 goals per game and they are allowing 3.64 goals against per game, while going 16.9% on the power play and 71.4% on the penalty kill. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with seven goals, 27 assists, and 104 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 7-14-0 this season with a 3.67 goals against average and a .887 save percentage. 

Sabres Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 17-20-4 this year after they lost to Seattle by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Buffalo tied the game at two early in the second period, but allowed the last three goals in the game for the loss. The Sabres out shot Seattle by a total of 38-26 and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Buffalo defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 3-1 and Montreal by a score of 6-1 in the two games prior to Seattle. The Sabres are scoring 2.98 goals per game and they are allowing 3.37 goals against per game, while going 13.7% on the power play and 77.8% on the penalty kill. Casey Mittelstadt has led Buffalo with 11 goals, 24 assists, and 65 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who is 8-8-2 this year with a 3.01 goals against average and a .899 save percentage. 

Buffalo Sabres Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Senators and Sabres at KeyBank Center.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the Sabres' last nine games following a loss.
  • The Sabres have won the third period in eight of their last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

  • The Senators have won seven of their last eight night games against the Sabres following a road loss.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Senators' last six games.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the Senators' last 11 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have won the third period in four of their last five games against the Sabres.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Jeff Skinner has recorded at least one point in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Sabres as favorites.
  • Jeff Skinner has scored a goal in six of his last seven appearances with the Sabres as favorites.
  • Alex Tuch has recorded at least one assist in five of his last six appearances with the Sabres as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Tage Thompson has the equal-most multi-goal games for the Sabres this season (2).

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Claude Giroux has scored at least one goal in six of the Senators' last eight games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Claude Giroux has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine Thursday night appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Drake Batherson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators' last six Thursday night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Ridly Greig has recorded two assists against the Sabres this season - equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 30th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.71).
  • The Buffalo Sabres rank T29th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (7).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.47).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 3rd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.17).

Senators vs Sabres Betting Prediction

Ottawa comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have only scored eight goals in those four losses. The Senators are only 4-12-0 on the road this season, while Buffalo is 8-10-1 at home. The Sabres have not been much better than Ottawa to start this season, but they have won two of their last three games. The Senators have been one of the worst defensive teams in the NHL, as they are allowing 3.64 goals against per game. Buffalo has played better over their last five games and I like them to get the home win here. 

David’s Pick Sabres ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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