Devils vs Lightning Prediction - NHL Picks 1/11/24

Tampa Bay Lightning (20-17-5) vs New Jersey Devils (21-15-2)

Game Info: Thursday, January 11, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -152 / New Jersey Devils +126 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+

The New Jersey Devils will play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday night at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. New Jersey has won two of their last three games, while Tampa Bay has alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Devils vs Lightning prediction.

Devils Preview

The New Jersey Devils are 21-15-2 this season after they lost to Vancouver by a score of 6-4 in their last game. New Jersey trailed 3-0 in the second period and even though they battled to come back, they came up just short. The Devils were out shot by a total of 43-25 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. New Jersey defeated Chicago by a score of 4-2 and Washington by a score of 6-3 in the two games prior to Vancouver. The Devils are scoring 3.55 goals per game and they are allowing 3.55 goals against per game, while going 28.6% on the power play and 77% on the penalty kill. Jack Hughes has led New Jersey with 15 goals, 30 assists, and 138 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for New Jersey is Vitek Vanecek, who is 14-7-1 this season with a 3.29 goals against average and a .884 save percentage. 

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 20-17-5 this year after they defeated the Kings in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay trailed 2-0 in the third period, but they were able to tie the game and win in overtime. The Lightning out shot LA by a total of 29-22 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay lost to Boston by a score of 7-3 in the game prior to LA, but did defeat Minnesota by a score of 4-1 before that. The Lightning are scoring 3.24 goals per game and they are allowing 3.45 goals against per game, while going 28.6% on the power play and 80.5% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 28 goals, 39 assists, and 179 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 10-9-0 this season with a 2.95 goals against average and a .896 save percentage. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won five of the last seven games between the Devils and Lightning.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the last eight games between the Devils and Lightning.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in 12 of the Lightning's last 13 games as favorites.
  • The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last six home games following a home win.

New Jersey Devils Team Facts

  • The Devils have lost nine of their last 10 night games at Amalie Arena following a loss.
  • The Devils have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games following a home loss.
  • The Devils have lost the second period in four of their last five games at Amalie Arena.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in 13 of the Devils' last 16 games following a loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in seven of the Lightning's last eight games at Amalie Arena.
  • Nick Paul has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning's last four games as home favorites.
  • Conor Sheary has recorded at least one point in each of his last six Thursday appearances.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Points (30) this season.

New Jersey Devils Player Prop Facts

  • Nico Hischier has scored at least one goal in three of the Devils' last four games.
  • Jesper Bratt has recorded at least one assist in each of the Devils' last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Jack Hughes has recorded at least one point in 13 of the Devils' last 14 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Simon Nemec ranks 2nd amongst rookies for average time on ice (20:50) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T2nd in the league for power play goals this season (38).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T31st in the league in short handed goals this season (0).
  • The New Jersey Devils rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.55).
  • The New Jersey Devils rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.879).

Devils vs Lightning Betting Prediction

Tampa Bay comes into this game after a nice overtime victory against the Kings, but they have played inconsistently in their last six games. New Jersey lost to Vancouver in their last matchup, but they have scored 14 goals in their last three games. New Jersey is 12-6-0 on the road, while Tampa Bay is 12-5-3 at home. Both of these teams have solid offensive attacks, while each defense has struggled. New Jersey has gone over 6.5 goals in four of their last five games and I think we are going to see another high scoring game here. Take the over in this game. 

David’s Pick Over 6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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