Lightning vs Oilers Prediction - NHL Picks 12/14/23

Edmonton Oilers (13-12-1) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (13-12-5)

Game Info: Thursday, December 14, 2023 at 9:00 pm (Rogers Place)

Betting Odds: Edmonton Oilers -154 / Tampa Bay Lightning +128 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Lightning will play the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday night at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Tampa Bay has lost two of their last three games, while Edmonton has won eight games in a row. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Lightning vs Oilers prediction. 

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 13-12-5 this season after they lost to Vancouver by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 1-0 early in the first period, but Vancouver scored the next four goals for the win. The Lightning out shot Vancouver by a total of 29-22 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay defeated Seattle in the game before Vancouver, but lost to Nashville by a score of 5-1 in the game prior to that. The Lighting have lost six of their last nine games. Tampa Bay is scoring 3.20 goals per game and they are allowing 3.53 goals against per game, while going 29% on the power play and 81.1% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 19 goals, 28 assists, and 137 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 4-4-0 this year with a 2.74 goals against average and a .894 save percentage. 

Oilers Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 13-12-1 this year after they defeated Chicago by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Edmonton trailed 1-0 in the first period, but they scored the last four goals in the game for the win. The Oilers out shot Chicago by a total of 29-23 and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Edmonton has won eight games in a row against Chicago, New Jersey, Minnesota, Carolina, Winnipeg, Vegas, Anaheim, and Washington. The Oilers are scoring 3.50 goals per game and they are allowing 3.27 goals against per game, while going 28.1% on the power play and 80.4% on the penalty kill. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with 10 goals, 28 assists, and 68 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Stuart Skinner, who is 11-7-1 this year with a 2.92 goals against average and a .890 save percentage. 

Edmonton Oilers Team Facts

  • The Oilers have won each of their last eight games at Rogers Place.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in five of the last six games between the Lightning and Oilers.
  • The Oilers have won the first period in each of their last six games at Rogers Place.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Oilers' last eight home games against the Lightning.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

  • The home team has won five of the Lightning's last six games.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in eight of the Lightning's last nine games.
  • The Lightning have won the second period in five of their last six games at Rogers Place.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in 13 of the Lightning's last 15 games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Leon Draisaitl has scored a goal in each of the Oilers' last five games against the Lightning at Rogers Place.
  • Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers' last 10 games as favorites.
  • Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers' last nine night games.
  • Derek Ryan has scored two goals against the Lightning this season - most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Steven Stamkos has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances at Rogers Place.
  • Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in seven of the Lightning's last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in six of his last seven appearances against the Oilers after playing less than 20 minutes in the Lightning's last game.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Edmonton Oilers ranks 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.54).
  • The Edmonton Oilers ranks 3rd in the league for shots per game this season (33.4).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks 1st in the league for power play goals this season (29).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (1).

Lightning vs Oilers Betting Prediction

Edmonton comes into this game playing great hockey and they are on an eight game winning streak. The Oilers have played outstanding defense during this winning streak, allowing three goals or fewer in seven of the eight games. Tampa Bay is on the fourth game of their road trip and they are only 5-9-2 on the road. The Lightning have scored just one goal in two of their last three games, which isn’t going to get the job done. Edmonton is the hottest team in the NHL right now and I like them at home. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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