Maple Leafs vs Islanders Prediction - NHL Picks 12/11/23

New York Islanders (12-7-7) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (14-6-4)

Game Info: Monday, December 11, 2023 at 7:00 pm (UBS Arena)

Betting Odds: New York Islanders +112 / Toronto Maple Leafs -134 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the New York Islanders on Monday night at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. Toronto has won four of their last five games, while New York has also won four of their last five. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Maple Leafs vs Islanders prediction.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 14-6-4 this year after they defeated Nashville by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Toronto scored two goals in the second period and two goals in the third period for the shutout win. The Maple Leafs out shot Nashville by a total of 37-18 and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Toronto defeated Ottawa by a score of 4-3 in the game prior to Nashville, but lost to Boston in the game before that. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.33 goals per game and they are allowing 3.17 goals against per game, while going 23.6% on the power play and 80.5% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 13 goals, 19 assists, and 106 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 5-1-3 this year with a 3.21 goals against average and a .886 save percentage. Toronto is 4th in the Eastern Conference with 32 points, the same as the Philadelphia Flyers and Detroit Red Wings.

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Islanders Preview

The New York Islanders are 12-7-7 this season after they defeated the Kings by a score of 3-2 in their last game. New York trailed 2-0 in the third period, but they scored twice in the third to force overtime and won just 13 seconds into OT. The Islanders were out shot by a total of 36-30 and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. New York defeated Columbus by a score of 7-3 in the game prior to LA, but they did lose to San Jose in the game before that. The Islanders are scoring 3.00 goals per game and they are allowing 3.15 goals against per game, while going 24.7% on the power play and 74.1% on the penalty kill. Mathew Barzal has led New York with nine goals, 19 assists, and 81 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for New York is Ilya Sorokin, who is 7-4-6 this season with a 3.12 goals against average and a .913 save percentage. 

New York Islanders Team Facts

  • The Islanders have won each of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last nine Monday games as home underdogs.
  • The Islanders have won the second period in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Islanders' last nine games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last four night games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 16 games as favorites.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in 12 of the Maple Leafs' last 13 games following a win.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the first period in six of their last seven games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Mathew Barzal has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with the Islanders as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances with the Islanders as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Mike Reilly has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances in night games at UBS Arena.
  • Bo Horvat has the equal-most multi-goal games for the Islanders this season (2).

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Bertuzzi has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of his last 10 Monday night appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • John Klingberg has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Islanders.
  • Mitch Marner ranks T1st in the Eastern Conference for shootout goals (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Islanders ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (1).
  • The New York Islanders ranks 31st in the league for shots against per game this season (35.8).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only five teams to win 5+ games when trailing after Period 1 this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 26th in the league for shots against per game this season (32.3).

Maple Leafs vs Islanders Betting Prediction

Both of these teams come into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and will look to stay hot with a win here. New York is 6-3-5 at home, while Toronto is 6-2-3 on the road. The Islanders did give the Kings their first road loss of the year on Saturday, while Toronto shutout the Predators. We have seen the Islanders play much better hockey over the last few weeks than they did to start the season, and they have scored 23 goals in their last five games. This should be a great game to watch, but I am going to take the Islanders at home, as they ride the momentum from that big win against the Kings. 

David’s Pick Islanders ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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