Flames vs Avalanche Prediction - NHL Picks 12/11/23

Colorado Avalanche (16-9-2) vs Calgary Flames (11-13-3)

Game Info: Monday, December 11, 2023 at 9:30 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -188 / Calgary Flames +155 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Calgary Flames will play the Colorado Avalanche on Monday night at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Calgary has lost three of their last four games, while Colorado has lost five of their last six. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Flames vs Avalanche prediction.

Flames Preview

The Calgary Flames are 11-13-3 this year after they lost to the Devils by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Calgary led 1-0 after one period, but they allowed the next three goals in the loss. The Flames were out shot by a total of 30-25 and went 2-2 on the penalty kill in the game. Calgary defeated Carolina by a score of 3-2 in the game before New Jersey, but they lost to Minnesota and Vancouver prior to that. The Flames are scoring 2.89 goals per game and they are allowing 3.33 goals against per game, while going 11.9% on the power play and 84.3% on the penalty kill. Nazem Kadri has led Calgary with six goals, 12 assists, and 80 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Calgary is Dan Vladar, who is 4-3-1 this year with a 3.45 goals against average and a .877 save percentage. 

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Avalanche Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 16-9-2 this season after they lost to the Flyers by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Colorado tied the game at one at the end of the first period, but they allowed four of the next five goals for the loss. The Avalanche out shot Philadelphia by a total of 38-34 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Colorado’s only win in their last six games came against the Ducks by a score of 3-2 three games ago. The Avalanche are scoring 3.44 goals per game and they are allowing 3.00 goals against per game, while going 18.4% on the power play and 85.3% on the penalty kill. Nathan MacKinnon has led the Avalanche with 11 goals, 26 assists, and 125 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Alexandar Georgiev, who is 14-7-1 this year with a 2.87 goals against average and a .902 save percentage. Colorado is 5th in the Western Conference with 34 points, the same as the Winnipeg Jets and one ahead of the Dallas Stars.

Colorado Avalanche Team Facts

  • The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last nine Monday games as favorites.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in 17 of the Avalanche's last 19 games following a home loss.

Calgary Flames Team Facts

  • The Flames have won six of their last seven games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in eight of the Flames' last nine night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Flames have lost the first period in seven of their last eight night games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche's last five games against the Flames at Ball Arena.
  • Gabriel Landeskog has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against Pacific Division opponents at Ball Arena.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche's last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Cale Makar ranks 1st in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+15) this season.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • MacKenzie Weegar has recorded a point in each of his last four appearances against Western Conference opponents.
  • Rasmus Andersson has recorded an assist in four of the Flames' last five games against the Avalanche.
  • Mikael Backlund has recorded two hits against the Avalanche this season - equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Avalanche ranks 4th in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.26).
  • The Colorado Avalanche ranks T4th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.30).
  • The Calgary Flames ranks 28th in the league in save percentage this season (.884).
  • The Calgary Flames ranks T5th in the league in short handed goals this season (5).

Flames vs Avalanche Betting Prediction

Both of these teams come into this matchup struggling in recent games, but Colorado will have the home ice here. The Avalanche are 9-4-0 at home, while Calgary is 5-7-2 on the road. Colorado has really struggled to score goals recently, as they have scored two goals or fewer in three of their last four games. On the other side, Calgary is only scoring 2.89 goals per game this season and is 11.9% on the power play. Both of these teams are struggling to find the back of the net right now and I think we are going to see a lower scoring game. Take the under here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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