Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction - NHL Picks 12/7/23

Ottawa Senators (10-10) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (12-6-4)

Game Info: Thursday, December 7, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)

Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators +105 / Toronto Maple Leafs -126 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Ottawa Senators on Thursday night at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Toronto has won two of their last three games, while Ottawa enters this matchup on a two game winning streak. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Maple Leafs vs Senators prediction.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 12-6-4 this year after they lost to Boston by a score of 4-3 in overtime. Toronto trailed 2-0 and 3-2 in the game, but they were able to tie the game with six seconds left, before losing in the final seconds of overtime. The Maple Leafs out shot Boston by a total of 40-37 and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto defeated Seattle by a score of 4-3 and Florida by a score of 2-1 in their previous two games. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.27 goals per game and they are allowing 3.32 goals against per game, while going 24.2% on the power play and 79.2% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 12 goals, 17 assists, and 99 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 8-5-1 this year with a 2.82 goals against average and a .915 save percentage. 

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 10-10-0 this season after they defeated the Rangers by a score of 6-2 in their last game. Ottawa led 3-2 in the second period and they were able to score the next three goals to pull away for the win. The Senators out shot New York by a total of 36-35 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa defeated Seattle by a score of 2-0 in the game before New York, but they lost the three games prior to that. Ottawa is scoring 3.45 goals per game and they are allowing 3.25 goals against per game, while going 17.6% on the power play and 73.5% on the penalty kill. Tim Stutzle has led the Senators with five goals, 19 assists, and 62 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 5-6-0 this season with a 3.41 goals against average and a .897 save percentage. 

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

  • The Senators have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the last nine games between the Maple Leafs and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.
  • The road team has won the second period in five of the last six games between the Maple Leafs and Senators.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the Senators' last 13 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last four games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 17 of their last 18 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in five of their last six night games at Canadian Tire Centre after coming off overtime.
  • The 'Over 2.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs' last two games against opponents on a winning streak.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Claude Giroux has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators' last eight Thursday night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Thomas Chabot has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances with the Senators as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Claude Giroux has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators' last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Claude Giroux has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season - most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • William Nylander has scored a goal in four of the Maple Leafs' last five games as favorites against the Senators.
  • Jake McCabe has recorded at least one point in each of his last four appearances in night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Maple Leafs' last nine games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Mitch Marner ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Ottawa Senators ranks 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.65).
  • The Ottawa Senators ranks 4th in the league in penalty minutes this season (294).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only three teams to win a game when trailing by 2 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 6th in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.23).

Maple Leafs vs Senators Betting Prediction

Ottawa has had an up and down start to this season, but they are 8-7 at home and have won games in a row. The Senators defeated the Rangers in their last game, who are one of the best teams in the NHL. Toronto has won two of their last three games and they nearly beat Boston last time out. These two teams have similar metrics, but Toronto is the much better team on the power play and penalty kill. Give me the Maple Leafs here. 

David’s Pick Maple Leafs ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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