Stars vs Panthers Prediction - NHL Picks 12/6/23

Florida Panthers (14-8-2) vs Dallas Stars (14-6-3)

Game Info: Wednesday, December 6, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Amerant Bank Arena)

Betting Odds: Florida Panthers -120 / Dallas Stars +100 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dallas Stars will play the Florida Panthers on Wednesday night at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. Dallas has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, while Florida has alternated in their last five. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Stars vs Panthers prediction.

Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 14-6-3 this year after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Dallas allowed two goals in the first period and two goals in the third period for the shutout loss. The Stars out shot Tampa Bay by a total of 25-23 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Dallas did defeat Tampa Bay by a score of 8-1 on Saturday, but lost to Calgary in the game prior to that. The Stars are scoring 3.39 goals per game and they are allowing 2.83 goals against per game, while going 22.1% on the power play and 88.8% on the penalty kill. Joe Pavelski has led the Stars with 11 goals, 13 assists, and 54 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 10-5-2 this year with a 2.53 goals against average and a .915 save percentage. 

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Panthers Preview

The Florida Panthers are 14-8-2 this season after they lost to the Islanders by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Florida tied the game at one in the first period, but they allowed New York to score three of the next four goals to pull away. The Panthers out shot New York by a total of 45-27 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Florida defeated Montreal by a score of 5-1 in the previous game, but lost to Toronto in the game before that. The Panthers are scoring 3.00 goals per game and they are allowing 2.54 goals against per game, while going 17.5% on the power play and 81.7% on the penalty kill. Sam Reinhart has led Florida with 16 goals, 13 assists, and 60 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Florida is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 11-6-1 this year with a 2.41 goals against average and a .912 save percentage. 

Florida Panthers Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Panthers' last three games at Amerant Bank Arena.
  • The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Panthers' last five games as favorites against the Stars.
  • The Panthers have lost the first period in eight of their last nine night games against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Team Facts

  • The Stars have won four of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last six night games against the Panthers following a road loss.
  • The Stars have won the third period in four of their last five night games against the Panthers following a road loss.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in four of the Stars' last five games.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

  • Carter Verhaeghe has scored a goal in each of the Panthers' last three games as favorites.
  • Aleksander Barkov has recorded at least one point in each of his last five appearances with the Panthers as favorites against the Stars.
  • Matthew Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against the Stars.
  • Aleksander Barkov ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference for Plus/Minus (+15) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Seguin has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances at Amerant Bank Arena.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars' last nine Wednesday night games.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded an assist in three of the Stars' last four games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Wyatt Johnston has the equal-most multi-goal games for the Stars this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Florida Panthers ranks 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (27.6).
  • The Florida Panthers ranks 3rd in the league in penalty minutes this season (303).
  • The Dallas Stars ranks 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.39).
  • The Dallas Stars ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (6).

Stars vs Panthers Betting Prediction

Both of these teams have had some trouble stringing wins together recently, but both have very solid records to start the season. Dallas is 8-2-2 on the road, but they have lost their last two road games, while Florida is 7-4 at home. These two teams have done a good job in the offensive zone, but they have built their success in the defensive end. Both teams are allowing 2.83 goals against per game or fewer this season and I think we are in for a defensive battle here. Take the under in this one. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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