Penguins vs Lightning Prediction - NHL Picks 12/6/23

Tampa Bay Lightning (11-10-5) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (11-10-3)

Game Info: Wednesday, December 6, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -132 / Pittsburgh Penguins +110 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Penguins will play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Wednesday night at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Pittsburgh has lost three of their last four games, while Tampa Bay snapped their losing streak last time out. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Penguins vs Lightning prediction.

Penguins Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 11-10-3 this season after they lost to the Flyers in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Pittsburgh led 1-0 in the first period, but couldn’t find any more offense in the game for the overtime loss. The Penguins were out shot by a total of 33-32 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh has lost seven of their last ten games, with their only wins during that span coming against Vegas, Toronto, and Tampa Bay. The Penguins are scoring 3.04 goals per game and they are allowing 2.58 goals against per game, while going 10.4% on the power play and 84.9% on the penalty kill. Jake Guentzel has led the Penguins with nine goals, 19 assists, and 79 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Tristan Jarry, who is 8-8-2 this year with a 2.47 goals against average and a .918 save percentage. 

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 11-10-5 this year after they defeated Dallas by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Tampa Bay scored twice in the first and twice in the third for the shutout win. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 25-23 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay lost their previous four games against Dallas, Pittsburgh, Arizona, and Colorado. The Lightning are scoring 3.35 goals per game and they are allowing 3.58 goals against per game, while going 31% on the power play and 82.9% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 16 goals, 26 assists, and 123 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 2-3-0 this season with a 3.03 goals against average and a .887 save percentage. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

  • The Lightning have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Lightning's last five games at Amalie Arena.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the last 12 games between the Penguins and Lightning at Amalie Arena.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last six games as home favorites following a win.

Pittsburgh Penguins Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won nine of the Penguins' last 10 games.
  • The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last six night games at Amalie Arena after coming off overtime.
  • The Penguins have won the second period in each of their last four games against the Lightning.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the Penguins' last 12 night games at Amalie Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Steven Stamkos has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning's last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Victor Hedman has recorded at least one point in eight of the Lightning's last nine home games against the Penguins.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning's last eight night games.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (6) this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Drew O'Connor has scored a goal in each of the Penguins' last three games against the Lightning.
  • Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances against the Lightning.
  • Kris Letang has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances against the Lightning.
  • Bryan Rust ranks T1st in the Metropolitan Division for Plus/Minus (+13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (1).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks 2nd in the league for power play goals this season (27).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins ranks 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.93%).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins ranks 31st in the league in penalty minutes this season (175).

Penguins vs Lightning Betting Prediction

Tampa Bay limped into their last game on a losing streak and struggling to score goals, but they got a huge shutout win against a very good Dallas team. Pittsburgh has lost two games in a row to Philadelphia, but they did defeat Tampa Bay in Tampa by a score of 4-2 on 11/30. The Lightning are 7-3-3 on home ice, while Pittsburgh is 6-4-2 on the road. This should be a very good game, but I am siding with Tampa Bay in this matchup. I think their last win against Dallas is going to spark them and I like Tampa Bay to get the win. 

David’s Pick Lightning ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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