Stars vs Lightning Prediction - NHL Picks 12/4/23

Tampa Bay Lightning (10-10-5) vs Dallas Stars (14-5-3)

Game Info: Monday, December 4, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -114 / Dallas Stars -105 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dallas Stars will play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday night at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Dallas has won two of their last three games, while Tampa Bay has lost four games in a row. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Stars vs Lightning prediction. 

Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 14-5-3 this season after they defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 8-1 in their last game. Dallas jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first period and added three more goals in the second for the blowout win. The Stars recorded 34 shots on goal and went 2-2 on the power play in the game. Dallas lost to Calgary by a score of 4-3 in their previous game, but they defeated Winnipeg by a score of 2-0 prior to that. Dallas is scoring 3.55 goals per game and they are allowing 2.77 goals against per game, while going 22.7% on the power play and 88.5% on the penalty kill. Joe Pavelski has led the Stars with 11 goals, 13 assists, and 54 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 10-4-2 this year with a 2.44 goals against average and a .920 save percentage. 

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 10-10-5 this year after they lost to Dallas by a score of 8-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay cut the lead to 3-1 in the first period, but Dallas scored the next five goals to pull away. The Lightning recorded 33 shots on goal and went 1-6 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay has also lost to Pittsburgh, Arizona, and Colorado during this losing streak. Tampa Bay is scoring 3.32 goals per game and they are allowing 3.72 goals against per game, while going 31.8% on the power play and 82.4% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led the Lightning with 15 goals, 25 assists, and 117 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 1-3-0 this year with a 3.87 goals against average and a .859 save percentage. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

  • The Lightning have lost each of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 19 home games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have lost the first period in each of their last six night games against Central Division opponents.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in seven of the Lightning's last eight games at Amalie Arena.

Dallas Stars Team Facts

  • The Stars have won six of their last seven night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a win.
  • The 'Over 2.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in three of the Stars' last four games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Stars have won the third period in three of their last four games against opponents on a losing streak.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Steven Stamkos has scored a goal in each of the Lightning's last four games at Amalie Arena.
  • Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning's last 10 games against Central Division opponents at Amalie Arena.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning's last seven night games.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (6) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Joe Pavelski has scored a goal in three of the Stars' last four games.
  • Joe Pavelski has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars' last nine games.
  • Joe Pavelski has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars' last four games at Amalie Arena.
  • Jani Hakanpaa has recorded two assists against the Lightning this season - most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T1st in the league for power play goals this season (27).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (1).
  • The Dallas Stars ranks 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.55).
  • The Dallas Stars ranks 8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.77).

Stars vs Lightning Betting Prediction

Dallas dominated Tampa Bay on Saturday afternoon, but Tampa Bay will be looking for revenge on home ice in this game. The Lightning have not scored consistently in recent games, as they have only scored five goals in their last four games. Tampa Bay has been out scored 19-5 in those four losses. Dallas hasn’t played their best over the last couple of weeks, but they have won two of their last three games and they are 8-1-2 on the road. The Stars played very well on Saturday and I am going to take them to get another win here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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