Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction - NHL Picks 11/28/23

Toronto Maple Leafs (10-6-3) vs Florida Panthers (13-7-1)

Game Info: Tuesday, November 28, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -150 / Florida Panthers +125 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Florida Panthers will play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday night at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Florida has lost two of their last three games, while Toronto has lost two straight. Check out our Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction.

Panthers Preview

The Florida Panthers are 13-7-1 this year after they defeated Ottawa by a score of 5-0 in their last game. Florida scored once in the first, twice in the second, and twice in the third for the shutout win. The Panthers out shot Ottawa by a total of 38-20 and went 6-6 on the penalty kill in the game. Florida had lost their previous two games against Winnipeg and Boston by a combined score of 6-1. The Panthers are scoring 2.90 goals per game and they are allowing 2.75 goals against per game, while going 15.6% on the power play and 77.4% on the penalty kill. Sam Reinhart has led the Panthers this year with 15 goals, 12 assists, and 55 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Florida is Anthony Stolarz, who is 3-1-0 this year with a 2.28 goals against average and a .917 save percentage. 

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 10-6-3 this season after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Toronto led 2-1 in the first period, but they allowed the last two goals in the game for the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 35-33 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto also lost to Chicago by a score of 4-3 in the game prior to Pittsburgh. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.42 goals per game and they are allowing 3.42 goals against per game, while going 26.8% on the power play and 77.8% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto this year with 12 goals, 15 assists, and 84 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 6-5-0 this season with a 2.92 goals against average and a .910 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Panthers and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 13 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in each of their last four night games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs' last six games as home favorites.

Florida Panthers Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Panthers' last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The Panthers have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
  • The Panthers have won the third period in each of their last five night games following a road win.
  • The 'Over 2.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in three of the Panthers' last four games following a road win.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs' last three home games.
  • Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances against the Panthers at Scotiabank Arena.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs' last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Auston Matthews ranks T3rd in the league for multi-goal games (4) this season.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

  • Sam Reinhart has scored the last goal in three of the Panthers' last four games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
  • Sam Reinhart has scored a goal in four of the Panthers' last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Brandon Montour has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Aleksander Barkov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven Tuesday night appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Sam Reinhart ranks T1st in the league for multi-point games (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks T26th in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.21).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks T9th in the league for goals per game this season (3.42).
  • The Florida Panthers ranks 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (27.7).
  • The Florida Panthers ranks T3rd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.71).

Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction Breakdown

Florida was able to snap their two game losing streak on Monday night, but they will be on the second game of a back to back here. Toronto is currently on a two game losing streak, but will have the home ice advantage. The Maple Leafs are 5-4-0 at home, while Florida is 6-4-1 on the road. The Panthers have had some issues scoring this season, but their defense is only allowing 2.75 goals against per game. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game in this matchup and I like the under. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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