Flames vs Stars Prediction - NHL Picks 11/24/23

Dallas Stars (12-4-2) vs Calgary Flames (7-9-3)

Game Info: Friday, November 24, 2023 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -170 / Calgary Flames +140 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Calgary Flames will play the Dallas Stars on Friday night at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Calgary has lost two of their last three games, while Dallas has also dropped two of their last three. Make sure to check out our Flames vs Stars Prediction.

Flames Preview

The Calgary Flames are 7-9-3 this year after they lost to Nashville by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Calgary tied the game at one in the first period, but allowed the next three goals for the loss. The Flames were out shot by a total of 45-26 and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Calgary did defeat Seattle by a score of 4-3 in the first game of their road trip. Calgary is scoring 2.84 goals per game and they are allowing 3.37 goals against per game, while going 13.1% on the power play and 85.7% on the penalty kill. Elias Lindholm has led the Flames this season with four goals, nine assists, and 51 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Calgary is Jacob Markstrom, who is 4-7-2 this year with a 2.85 goals against average and a .904 save percentage. 

Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 12-4-2 this season after they lost to Vegas in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Dallas tied the game at one late in the second period, but that was all of the offense they could manage in the loss. The Stars out shot Vegas by a total of 32-26 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas has won five of their last seven games and is currently leading the Central Division standings. Dallas is scoring 3.39 goals per game and they are allowing 2.72 goals against per game, while going 20.3% on the power play and 87.3% on the penalty kill. Joe Pavelski has led the Stars this year with eight goals, 10 assists, and 46 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 8-3-2 this season with a 2.45 goals against average and a .920 save percentage. 

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Dallas Stars Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Flames and Stars at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The road team has won the first period in four of the last five games between the Flames and Stars.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the last six games between the Flames and Stars.

Calgary Flames Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Flames' last three games.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the Flames' last nine games at American Airlines Center.
  • The underdogs have won the first period in each of the Flames' last three games at American Airlines Center.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Flames' last four games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Duchene has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against the Flames.
  • Joe Pavelski has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars' last eight games against the Flames.
  • Jamie Benn has scored a goal in four of the Stars' last five games as favorites against the Flames.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Elias Lindholm has scored a goal in four of the Flames' last five games against the Stars at American Airlines Center.
  • Elias Lindholm has recorded at least one point in eight of the Flames' last nine games against the Stars.
  • Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances at American Airlines Center.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (6).
  • The Dallas Stars are one of only two teams to win 5+ games when trailing after Period 1 this season.
  • The Calgary Flames ranks 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.11%).
  • The Calgary Flames ranks 7th in the league for shots per game this season (32.4).

Flames vs Stars Prediction Breakdown

Both of these teams have lost two of their last three games, but Dallas is the much better team in this matchup. The Stars are first in the Central Division and they are only allowing 2.72 goals against per game this year. Calgary is 4-6-2 on the road and they are only at 13.1% on the power play so far. This total is sitting pretty low and I like the over. Calgary has gone over 5.5 goals in four straight games, while Dallas has gone over 5.5 goals in four of their last five. Take the over here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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