Coyotes vs Stars Prediction - NHL Picks 11/14/23

Dallas Stars (10-3-1) vs Arizona Coyotes (7-6-1)

Game Info: Tuesday, November 14, 2023 at 8:00 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -192 / Arizona Coyotes +158 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arizona Coyotes will play the Dallas Stars on Tuesday night at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Arizona has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, while Dallas has won three games in a row. 

Coyotes Preview

The Arizona Coyotes are 7-6-1 this season after they defeated the Nashville Predators by a score of 7-5 in their last game. Arizona trailed 4-2 in the second period, but they scored the next five out of six goals for the win. The Coyotes were out shot by a total of 41-25 and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Arizona lost to St. Louis by a score of 2-1 in the game before Nashville. The Coyotes are scoring 3.36 goals per game and they are allowing 3.00 goals against per game, while going 29.1% on the power play and 75.5% on the penalty kill. Clayton Keller has led the Coyotes this year with six goals, nine assists, and 49 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Arizona is Karel Vejmelka, who is 2-5-1 this season with a 2.97 goals against average and a .908 save percentage. 

Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 10-3-1 this year after they defeated the Minnesota Wild by a score of 8-3 in their last game. Dallas led 3-2 after the first period and they were able to score five more goals in the game for the blowout win. The Stars out shot Minnesota by a total of 37-26 and went 5-8 on the power play in the game. Dallas has also defeated Winnipeg and Columbus during this three game winning streak. The Dallas Stars are scoring 3.36 goals per game and they are allowing 2.50 goals against per game, while going 20% on the power play and 91.8% on the penalty kill. Joe Pavelski has led the Stars this season with six goals, seven assists, and 36 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 7-2-1 this year with a 2.19 goals against average and a .929 save percentage. 

Dallas Stars Team Facts

  • The Stars have won seven of their last eight games against Central Division opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the Stars' last nine games at American Airlines Center.
  • The favorites have won the second period in each of the last five games between the Coyotes and Stars.
  • The 'Over 2.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the last four games between the Coyotes and Stars.

Arizona Coyotes Team Facts

  • The Coyotes have lost 16 of their last 17 night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Coyotes have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Coyotes have lost the first period in four of their last five night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in eight of the Coyotes' last nine games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Duchene has scored a goal in each of the Stars' last three games.
  • Matt Duchene has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances against the Coyotes.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded an assist in each of the Stars' last four games against the Coyotes at American Airlines Center.
  • Joe Pavelski has the equal-most Power Play Goals for the Stars this season (2).

Arizona Coyotes Player Prop Facts

  • Clayton Keller has recorded at least one point in 19 of the Coyotes' last 21 games against Central Division opponents.
  • Clayton Keller has recorded at least one assist in four of the Coyotes' last five games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • Janis Jerome Moser has the equal-most multi-assist games for the Coyotes this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars ranks 1st in the league for power play goals against this season (4).
  • The Dallas Stars ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (4).
  • The Arizona Coyotes ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
  • The Arizona Coyotes ranks 30th in the league for shots per game this season (28.1).

Pick

Dallas comes into this game with the home ice advantage and they have won three games in a row, out scoring their opponents by a total of 16-7 in those three wins. Arizona is 3-4-1 on the road and they have won two of their last three games. These two teams are very similar in goals per game, but Dallas is the much better defensive team. The Stars are over 90% on the penalty kill and have one of the best goalies in the NHL right now. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game here and I like the under in this one. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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