Hurricanes vs Lightning Prediction - NHL Picks 11/11/23

Tampa Bay Lightning (6-4-4) vs Carolina Hurricanes (8-6)

Game Info: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -111 / Carolina Hurricanes -111 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Carolina Hurricanes will play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday night at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Carolina has won two of their last three games, while Tampa Bay has alternated losses and wins over their last five games. 

Hurricanes Preview

The Carolina Hurricanes are 8-6-0 this year after they lost to the Florida Panthers by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Carolina led 1-0 early in the game, but Florida scored five of the next six goals in the loss. The Hurricanes were out shot by a total of 35-30 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Carolina had won their previous two games against the Islanders and Sabres. The Carolina Hurricanes are scoring 3.38 goals per game and they are allowing 3.39 goals against per game, while going 26.5% on the power play and 76% on the penalty kill. Jesperi Kotkaniemi has led the Hurricanes this season with five goals, seven assists, and 31 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Carolina is Pyotr Kochetkov, who is 0-3-0 this year with a 4.33 goals against average and a .836 save percentage. 

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 6-4-4 this season after they lost to the Chicago Blackhawks by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 1-0 and 2-1 in the first, but the period ended with Tampa Bay down 4-2 and they could only manage one goal the rest of the way. The Lightning out shot Chicago by a total of 33-29 and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay has gone 2-4 in their last six games, with the wins coming against Montreal and Ottawa. The Tampa Bay Lightning are scoring 3.79 goals per game and they are allowing 3.57 goals against per game, while going 33.3% on the power play and 86.4% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led the Lightning this year with 11 goals, 12 assists, and 63 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Jonas Johansson, who is 5-2-4 this season with a 3.36 goals against average and a .901 save percentage. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

  • The Lightning have won each of their last six home games against the Hurricanes following a home loss.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games at Amalie Arena following a home loss.
  • The 'Over 2.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in four of the Lightning's last five games at Amalie Arena.

Carolina Hurricanes Team Facts

  • The Hurricanes have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Hurricanes have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites.
  • The home team has won the first period in five of the Hurricanes' last six games.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in nine of the Hurricanes' last 12 games as favorites.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning's last four games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Steven Stamkos has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning's last eight Saturday night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against the Hurricanes.
  • Brayden Point ranks T1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.

Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

  • Sebastian Aho has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven Saturday appearances.
  • Andrei Svechnikov has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five appearances at Amalie Arena.
  • Seth Jarvis has the equal-most multi-goal games for the Hurricanes this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (86.36%).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.57).
  • The Carolina Hurricanes ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (4).
  • The Carolina Hurricanes ranks 31st in the league in save percentage this season (.867).

Pick

Carolina comes into this game with a 4-6-0 record on the road and they are on the second game of a back to back, after losing to Florida last night. Tampa Bay is 4-1-2 at home this year, but they have played pretty inconsistently over the last six games. There is a pretty big question mark for the Hurricanes goaltending in this game, as Raanta played last night and Andersen has been hurt. There is a chance that Raanta goes again, but I think it is going to be Kochetkov, who has struggled this year. Take the Lightning here. 

David’s Pick Lightning ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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