Flames vs Senators Prediction - NHL Picks 11/11/23

Ottawa Senators (5-7) vs Calgary Flames (4-7-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)

Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators -132 / Calgary Flames +110 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Calgary Flames will play the Ottawa Senators on Saturday night the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Calgary has won two of their last three games, while Ottawa has lost three of their last four. 

Flames Preview

The Calgary Flames are 4-7-2 this season after they lost to the Toronto Maple Leafs in a shootout by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Calgary trailed 4-1 in the second period, but they were able to force overtime. The Flames were out shot by a total of 36-28 and went 0-2 on the power play in the loss. Calgary had won their previous two games against Nashville and Seattle. The Calgary Flames are scoring 2.67 goals per game and they are allowing 3.50 goals against per game, while going 16.7% on the power play and 90% on the penalty kill. Elias Lindholm has led the Flames this season with two goals, six assists, and 28 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Calgary is Jacob Markstrom, who is 2-6-1 this year with a 2.91 goals against average and a .896 save percentage. 

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 5-7-0 this year after they lost to the Vancouver Canucks by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Ottawa tied the game at two in the second period, but allowed the next three goals for the loss. The Senators out shot Vancouver by a total of 30-16 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Ottawa has only won two of their last eight games, which came against Toronto and Pittsburgh. The Ottawa Senators are scoring 3.83 goals per game and they are allowing 3.58 goals against per game, while going 22% on the power play and 73.2% on the penalty kill. Tim Stutzle has led the Senators this season with three goals, 12 assists, and 37 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 3-4-0 this year with a 3.38 goals against average and a .902 save percentage. 

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

  • The Senators have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last six home games against the Flames following a home loss.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the Senators' last 11 night games.
  • The Senators have won the third period in each of their last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre following a loss.

Calgary Flames Team Facts

  • The Flames have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a shootout loss.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
  • The Flames have lost the first period in five of their last six games.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in eight of the Flames' last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Ridly Greig has recorded a point in each of his last six appearances with the Senators as home favorites.
  • Thomas Chabot has recorded at least one assist in five of the Senators' last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Brady Tkachuk has the equal-most Power Play Goals for the Senators this season (2).

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one point in each of the Flames' last five games.
  • Rasmus Andersson has recorded at least one assist in six of his last seven appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • MacKenzie Weegar has the equal-most multi-point games for the Flames this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Ottawa Senators ranks 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.17%).
  • The Ottawa Senators ranks 3rd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.58).
  • The Calgary Flames ranks T3rd in the league for power play goals against this season (5).
  • The Calgary Flames ranks 30th in the league in save percentage this season (.872).

Pick

Ottawa comes into this matchup really struggling over the last two weeks, but they will catch Calgary on the second game of a back to back here. The Flames played against Toronto last night, in a game that went to a shootout. Calgary has had an up and down season, but they are only 2-4-2 on the road this year. I think the Senators having the rest advantage is going to be huge, especially with the Flames going into overtime last night. Take Ottawa in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Senators ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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