Blues vs Avalanche Prediction - NHL Picks 11/11/23

Colorado Avalanche (8-4) vs St. Louis Blues (6-5-1)

Game Info: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 9:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -240 / St. Louis Blues +195 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The St. Louis Blues will play the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday night at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. St. Louis has won three of their last four games, while Colorado has alternated losses and wins over their last five games. 

Blues Preview

The St. Louis Blues are 6-5-1 this season after they defeated Arizona by a score of 2-1 in their last game. St. Louis led 1-0 in the first period, but Arizona tied the game. The Blues took the 2-1 lead in the second and were able to hang on for the win. The Blues out shot Arizona by a total of 33-20 and went 0-7 on the power play in the game. St. Louis lost to Winnipeg in their previous game, but they did defeat Montreal and New Jersey in the two games prior. The St. Louis Blues are scoring 2.33 goals per game and they are allowing 2.75 goals against per game, while going 2.9% on the power play and 72.7% on the penalty kill. Robert Thomas has led the Blues with six goals, five assists, and 26 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for St. Louis is Jordan Binnington, who is 3-4-1 this season with a 2.58 goals against average and a .919 save percentage. 

Avalanche Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 8-4-0 this year after they lost to the Seattle Kraken by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Colorado trailed 2-0 in the second period, but they tied the game at three in the third, before allowing the winning goal with 32 seconds left. The Avalanche out shot Seattle by a total of 26-22 and went 0-3 on the power play in the loss. Colorado did defeat the Devils in their previous game by a score of 6-3. The Colorado Avalanche are scoring 3.33 goals per game and they are allowing 2.92 goals against per game, while going 17.4% on the power play and 88% on the penalty kill. Mikko Rantanen has led the Avalanche with eight goals, 10 assists, and 44 shots on goal this season. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Alexandar Georgiev, who is 7-3-0 this year with a 2.93 goals against average and a .897 save percentage. 

Colorado Avalanche Team Facts

  • The Avalanche have won each of their last eight night games following a home loss.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games following a home loss.
  • The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last six games following a home loss.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Avalanche's last 10 games as favorites against the Blues.

St. Louis Blues Team Facts

  • The Blues have lost nine of their last 10 games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Blues have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games against the Avalanche following a home win.
  • The 'Over 2.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Blues' last seven games following a home win.
  • The Blues have lost the second period in five of their last six games following a win.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan MacKinnon has scored a goal in four of the Avalanche's last five games at Ball Arena.
  • Gabriel Landeskog has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances against the Blues at Ball Arena.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine home appearances against the Blues after playing less than 20 minutes in the Avalanche's last game.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has recorded two assists against the Blues this season - equal-most against any opponent.

St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts

  • Robert Thomas has scored a goal in each of the Blues' last four games against Central Division opponents.
  • Jordan Kyrou has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances against Western Conference opponents at Ball Arena.
  • Kevin Hayes has recorded at least one assist in five of his last six appearances against the Avalanche.
  • Brandon Saad has the equal-most multi-point games for the Blues this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Avalanche ranks 3rd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.67).
  • The Colorado Avalanche ranks 29th in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.42).
  • The St. Louis Blues ranks 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.75).
  • The St. Louis Blues ranks T26th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.73%).

Pick

The Blues come into this game playing well and they have won three of their last four games, but they are only 1-3-1 on the road this year. Colorado has played inconsistently in their recent games, but they are 4-1 on home ice this season. Colorado is the much better offensive team in this matchup and they won 4-1 in these two teams first meeting of the year. I think we are going to see a similar result in this game and I like Colorado -1.5 here. 

David’s Pick Avalanche -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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