Flyers vs Sabres Prediction - NHL Picks 11/3/23

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The Philadelphia Flyers will play the Buffalo Sabres on Friday night at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. These two teams met on Wednesday, with Buffalo winning by a score of 5-2 in Philadelphia.

Flyers Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 4-5-1 this season after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Philadelphia got two first period goals from Farabee and Atkinson, but couldn’t find the back of the net the rest of the way. The Flyers recorded 40 shots on goal and went 0-3 on the power play in the loss. Philadelphia has also lost to Carolina and Anaheim during this three game losing streak. The Philadelphia Flyers are scoring 3.20 goals per game and they are allowing 3.30 goals against per game, while going 11.4% on the power play and 77.8% on the penalty kill. Travis Konecny has led the Flyers this season with eight goals, three assists, and 36 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Philadelphia is Samuel Ersson, who is 0-2-1 this year with a 4.91 goals against average and a .763 save percentage. 

Sabres Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 5-5-0 this year after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Buffalo got goals from Mittelstadt, Biro (2), Power, and Thompson in the win. The Sabres recorded 15 shots on goal and went 0-2 on the power play in the win. Buffalo also defeated Colorado by a score of 4-0 in the game prior to Philadelphia. The Buffalo Sabres are scoring 3.20 goals per game and they are allowing 2.90 goals against per game, while going 10% on the power play and 90% on the penalty kill. Jeff Skinner has led the Sabres this year with five goals, five assists, and 36 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Devon Levi, who is 1-3-0 this season with a 3.26 goals against average and a .892 save percentage. 

Buffalo Sabres Team Facts

  • The Sabres have lost seven of their last eight night games following a road win.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Sabres have won the second period in seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a road win.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in eight of the Sabres' last nine night games.

Philadelphia Flyers Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won three of the Flyers' last four games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games.
  • The Flyers have lost the second period in four of their last five games at KeyBank Center.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in seven of the Flyers' last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Jeff Skinner has scored a goal in four of the Sabres' last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Jeff Skinner has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres' last six games as favorites.
  • Rasmus Dahlin has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres' last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Alex Tuch has recorded two assists against the Flyers this season - most against any opponent.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Joel Farabee has scored a goal in each of the Flyers' last three games as underdogs against the Sabres.
  • Sean Couturier has recorded at least one point in each of his last five appearances at KeyBank Center.
  • Ryan Ellis has recorded an assist in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Cam Atkinson ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buffalo Sabres ranks T1st in the league for opponent goals in Period 2 per game this season (0.40).
  • The Buffalo Sabres ranks T28th in the league for power play goals this season (3).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (1).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers ranks 1st in the league for goals in Period 1 per game this season (1.50).

Pick

Buffalo was able to defeat Philadelphia in their last game, despite being severely outplayed for most of the game. The Flyers starting goalie, Carter Hart, got hurt in the game, which is going to be a huge loss for Philadelphia for however long he is out. Carter Hart was my favorite part of the Flyers team, so I don’t have many expectations for them while he is out. I like the Sabres to get the win here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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