Flyers vs Stars Prediction - NHL Picks 10/21/23

Dallas Stars (2-0-1) vs Philadelphia Flyers (3-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 8:00 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -220 / Philadelphia Flyers +180 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Flyers will play the Dallas Stars on Saturday night at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Philadelphia has won two games in a row, while Dallas has alternated wins and losses to start the season. 

Flyers Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 3-1-0 this year after they defeated the Edmonton Oilers by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Philadelphia led 2-0 early in the second period, but their lead was cut to one, before they pulled away in the final 22 minutes. The Flyers out shot Edmonton by a total of 32-23 and went 0-4 on the power play in the win. Philadelphia has also defeated Vancouver and Columbus this year. The Philadelphia Flyers are scoring 3.00 goals per game and they are allowing 2.00 goals against per game, while going 5.9% on the power play and 78.6% on the penalty kill. Travis Konecny has led the Flyers with three goals, two assists, and 13 shots on goal this season. The projected starting goalie for Philadelphia is Carter Hart, who is 3-1-0 this year with a 2.35 goals against average and a .929 save percentage. 

Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 2-0-1 this season after they defeated the Anaheim Ducks by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Dallas trailed 1-0 in the first period and they were tied at two in the third period, but Heiskanen scored with about seven minutes left for the win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 29-24 and they went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Dallas split their first two games against the Blues and the Golden Knights. The Dallas Stars offense is scoring 2.00 goals per game and they are allowing 1.67 goals against per game, while going 18.2% on the power play and 100% on the penalty kill. Miro Heiskanen has led the Stars this year with one goal, two assists, and 10 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 2-0-1 this season with a 1.58 goals against average and a .943 save percentage. 

Dallas Stars Team Facts

  • The Stars have won each of their last six games against the Flyers.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in five of the Stars' last six games following a road win.
  • The favorites have won the first period in each of the last four games between the Flyers and Stars.

Philadelphia Flyers Team Facts

  • The Flyers have lost seven of their last eight games at American Airlines Center.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in five of the Flyers' last six games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Flyers have won the third period in four of their last five games following a home win.
  • The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in 18 of the Flyers' last 19 games following a home win.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Joe Pavelski has scored a goal in each of the Stars' last four games against the Flyers.
  • Tyler Seguin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Flyers.
  • Tyler Seguin has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars' last eight games against the Flyers at American Airlines Center.
  • Joe Pavelski has the equal-most Power Play Points for the Stars this season (2).

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in each of his last five appearances.
  • Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five appearances.
  • Travis Konecny has the most multi-point games for the Flyers this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars ranks T28th in the league for goals per game this season (2.00).
  • The Dallas Stars ranks T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (0).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers ranks T1st in the league for goals in Period 1 per game this season (1.50).

Pick

Dallas has played in three very close games to start the year, with all three games having a one goal margin. The Flyers have won two straight games and they have out scored Vancouver and Edmonton by a total of 6-1. Dallas is 1-0 on home ice, while Philadelphia is 1-1 on the road to start the season. Both of these goalies are playing very well and Dallas hasn’t gone over five goals in their first three games. Take the under here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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