Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction - NHL Picks 3/21/23

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 25.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 43 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 70 assists and Steven Stamkos has 212 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 79.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 139 goals on 1,622 shots faced, and Brian Elliott has allowed 54 goals on 521 shots.

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 15.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 26 goals, Nick Suzuki has 30 assists and Josh Anderson has 162 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.6 goals per game and are killing 72.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Allen has given up 138 goals on 1,281 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 100 goals on 1,042 shots.

The Lightning are 42-15 in their last 57 games playing on 1 days rest and 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games. The Canadiens are 21-43 in their last 64 home games and 50-107 in their last 157 overall. The over is 7-3-1 in Lightning last 11 overall. The over is 4-0 in Canadiens last 4 overall. The Lightning are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Montreal and 21-5 in the last 26 meetings. The favorite is 22-4 in the last 26 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Lightning just beat up on the Habs a few days ago, and there's no reason this game should be any different. The Montreal Canadiens look like a team that's ready for the season to end, and playing at home hasn't helped much. The Lightning usually shows up and dhow out this time of the season. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.