Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction - NHL Picks 3/18/23
Ottawa Senators (33-31-4) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (41-18-9)
Game Info: Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)
Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators +125 / Toronto Maple Leafs -145 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Ottawa Senators on Saturday night at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs are 41-18-9 this season after they defeated the Carolina Hurricanes by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto was out shot by a total of 34-24 and went 1-1 on the power play in the win. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.39 goals per game, 2.66 goals against per game, 25.2% on the power play, and 80.7% on the penalty kill. Mitch Marner has led the Maple Leafs this season with 25 goals, 62 assists, and 164 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Matt Murray, who is 12-7-2 this season with a 2.92 goals against average and a .903 save percentage.
The Ottawa Senators are 33-31-4 this season after they lost to the Colorado Avalanche by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Ottawa out shot Colorado by a total of 36-30 and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.12 goals per game, 3.28 goals against per game, 23.6% on the power play, and 82.6% on the penalty kill. Tim Stutzle has led the Senators with 34 goals, 42 assists, and 187 shots on goal this season. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Mads Sogaard, who is 5-4-1 this season with a 3.46 goals against average and a .883 save percentage.
Toronto is 18-8 in their last 26 third games of a 3 in 4 situation. The over is 3-1-1 in Toronto’s last 5 games against the Atlantic and the under is 5-2-2 in their last 9 games. Ottawa is 7-1 in their last 8 games against the Atlantic and 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The over is 8-0 in Ottawa’s last 8 home games. The home team is 9-3 in these two teams last 12 head to head meetings.
Ottawa comes into this game on a four game losing streak and has allowed at least five goals in all four losses. Toronto has lost two of their last three games and will be on the second game of a back to back here. Ottawa has been an over machine lately at home, with the over going 8-0 in their last 8 home games. I think we are going to see another high scoring game here, but I like Toronto against a poor Ottawa defense.
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