Coyotes vs Avalanche Prediction - NHL Picks 3/11/23

The Arizona Coyotes are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 18.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Clayton Keller leads Arizona with 26 goals, Matias Maccell has 29 assists and Barrett Hayton has 136 shots on goal. Defensively, the Arizona Coyotes are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 74.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Karel Vejmelka has given up 141 goals on 1,465 shots faced, and Connor Ingram has allowed 76 goals on 808 shots.

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 3.2 goals per game and are scoring on 22.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Mikko Rantanen leads Colorado with 42 goals, Nathan MacKinnon has 50 assists and Evan Rodrigues has 158 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 78.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Alexandar Georgiev has allowed 120 goals on 1,462 shots faced, and Pavel Francouz has given up 38 goals on 470 shots.

The Coyotes are 14-37 in their last 51 road games and 28-59 in their last 87 overall. The Avalanche are 76-30 in their last 106 home games and 1-4 in their last 5 overall. The over is 3-1-1 in Coyotes last 5 overall. The under is 9-4-2 in Avalanche last 15 Saturday games. The Coyotes are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Colorado. The favorite is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. The home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

The Colorado Avalanche should be favored and probably run away with things at home here. The Arizona Coyotes have also been a mess all year and don't win on the road. However, this price is insane, and it's not like the Avs are coming off the best week ever. We're getting over 3.5 times our money by taking a shot in the dark with the Coyotes. I'll take my chances.