Lightning at Oilers Prediction - NHL Picks 1/19/23

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 29.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 25 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 45 assists and Steven Stamkos has 145 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 81.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 76 goals on 930 shots faced, and Brian Elliott has allowed 35 goals on 341 shots.

The Edmonton Oilers are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 31.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Connor McDavid leads Edmonton with 38 goals, Leon Draisaitl has 44 assists and Zach Hyman has 175 shots on goal. Defensively, the Edmonton Oilers are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 74.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jack Campbell has allowed 71 goals on 623 shots faced, and Stuart Skinner has given up 73 goals on 851 shots.

The Lightning are 21-7 in their last 28 overall. The Oilers are 2-6 in their last 8 home games and 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The under is 2-0-3 in Lightning last 5 road games. The over is 18-6-2 in Oilers last 26 overall. The Lightning are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Edmonton and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The favorite is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. The home team is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are in one of those grooves where the wins pile up, and you shouldn't bet against them when they're rolling. However, the Edmonton Oilers are a good hockey team and them at home with the rest advantage while getting plus money is hard to turn down. The Oilers have had success at home against the Lightning. I'll take a shot with the home dog.