Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning - 6/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning (65-29-10) vs Colorado Avalanche (71-22-8)

Game Info: Sunday, June 26, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning +105 / Colorado Avalanche -125 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Colorado Avalanche in Sunday NHL Stanley Cup Finals Action.

The Colorado Avalanche come into game 6 with another opportunity to close out the series and hoist the Stanley Cup. On the season, they have found the net 312 times, good for a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Colorado is the 7th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.83 goals per game. For the season, the Avalanche have a strength of schedule rating of 26th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 3rd ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Colorado Avalanche, looking to even the series at 3-3, after pulling off a 3-2 win on the road. This year, the Lightning have scored 287 goals, giving them an average of 3.48. This output gives them a rank of 8th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.78 goals per contest. This season, the Lightning have played the 22nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 8th in the NHL.

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This year, the Colorado Avalanche goal and overall scoring leader is Mikko Rantanen, with 92 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.2%. So far, 44.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Nathan MacKinnon, who has 56 assists to go along with his 32 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +22. Colorado's top goalie is Darcy Kuemper, who is giving up an average of 2.54 goals per game. In his 57 games played, he has turned in 32 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 81 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 106 points. He has reached his mark of 42 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.4%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 65 assists to go along with his 20 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +26.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.49 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 39 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into game 6, the posted over-under total is yet again set at 6 goals. The past 2 games of the series have now remained below the over-under line. It appears that both defenses have made the adjustments necessary to slow down their opponent. Look for game 6 to once again fall below 6 goals. I recommend taking the under.

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