Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche - 6/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche - 6/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by

Colorado Avalanche (71-21-8) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (64-29-10)

Game Info: Friday, June 24, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -160 / Tampa Bay Lightning +140 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Colorado Avalanche host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Friday NHL Stanley Cup Finals Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest looking to extend the series, as they as now trail Colorado 3-1. In game 4, the Lightning fell in overtime by a score of 3-2. During the season, the Lightning are the 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 287 times, good for a rank of 8th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.78 goals per game. For the year, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 22nd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 8th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Colorado Avalanche are looking to lock up a Stanley Cup Finals Championship. In game 4, the Avalanche needed a 3rd-period goal to send the game to overtime before picking up the win in the extra period. For the season, the Avalanche have scored 312 goals, giving them an average of 3.76. This output gives them a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. On defense, Colorado is the 7th ranked unit, giving up 2.83 goals per contest. This year, the Avalanche have played the 26th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Colorado's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 3rd in the NHL.

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Through 81 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 106 points. He has reached his mark of 42 goals, with a shooting percentage of 17.4%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 65 assists to go along with his 20 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +26.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.49 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 39 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 75 games, the Colorado Avalanche's goal and overall scoring leader is Mikko Rantanen, with 92 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.2%. So far, 44.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Nathan MacKinnon, who has 56 assists to go along with his 32 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +22. Colorado's top goalie is Darcy Kuemper, who is giving up an average of 2.54 goals per game. In his 57 games played, he has turned in 32 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into game 5, the over-under betting line is once again set at 6 goals. Game 4, was the first contest of the series that failed to surpass this total. Look for game 5 to feature a lot of scoring as Tampa Bay seeks to extend the series. I recommend taking the over.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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