New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning - 6/11/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning - 6/11/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (62-28-8) vs New York Rangers (62-31-8)

Game Info: Saturday, June 11, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -152 / New York Rangers +123 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the New York Rangers in Saturday NHL Eastern Conference Finals Action.

The New York Rangers travel to take on the Lightning hoping to even the series and avoid elimination. New York trails the series 2-3. During, the Rangers are 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 254 times, good for a rank of 16th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, New York is the 2nd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.49 goals per game. For the year, the Rangers have a strength of schedule rating of 24th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 9th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Rangers, hoping to punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Finals, as they picked up a 3-1 win in game 5. During the regular season, the Lightning scored 287 goals, giving them an average of 3.48. This output gives them a rank of 8th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.78 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 22nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 8th in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the New York Rangers leader in points is Artemi Panarin. In his team's 82 games, he has come up with 22 goals and 74 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 12.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus minus rating of +21.0. The team's top overall goal scorer is Chris Kreider. Of his 52 goals, 50.0% have come during power play time. New York's top goalie is Igor Shesterkin, who is giving up an average of 2.07 goals per game. In his 53 games played, he has turned in 38 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 81 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 106 points. He has reached his mark of 42 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.4%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 65 assists to go along with his 20 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +26.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.49 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 39 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals, the over-under betting line is once again set at 5.5 goals. In this matchup between New York and Tampa Bay, 4 straight games have remained under this line. I recommend sticking with this trend, as both teams have had strong moments on defense.

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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