Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers - 6/9/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers - 6/9/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

New York Rangers (62-30-8) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (61-28-8)

Game Info: Thursday, June 9, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Madison Square Garden)

Betting Odds: New York Rangers +118 / Tampa Bay Lightning -145 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the New York Rangers in Thursday NHL Eastern Conference Finals Action.

The New York Rangers will be looking forward to returning back to New York, as they lost their previous two games. Each of these contests were on the road in Tampa Bay. On the season, they found the net 254 times, good for a rank of 16th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, New York is the 2nd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.49 goals per game. For the year, the Rangers have a strength of schedule rating of 24th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 9th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to be the first team to pick up a road win in this series, as the home team has won every matchup. On the season, the Lightning scored 287 goals, giving them an average of 3.48. This output gives them a rank of 8th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.78 goals per contest. For the year, the Lightning have played the 22nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 8th in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the New York Rangers leader in points is Artemi Panarin. In his team's 82 games, he has come up with 22 goals and 74 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 12.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus minus rating of +21.0. The team's top overall goal scorer is Chris Kreider. Of his 52 goals, 50.0% have come during power play time. New York's top goalie is Igor Shesterkin, who is giving up an average of 2.07 goals per game. In his 53 games played, he has turned in 38 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 81 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 106 points. He has reached his mark of 42 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.4%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 65 assists to go along with his 20 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +26.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.49 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 39 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into game 5, the over-under betting line is once again set at 5.5 goals. The past 3 games of this series have each ended with 5 goals. Look for this low-scoring trend to continue, as both New York and Tampa Bay have been playing quality defense. I recommend once again taking the under.

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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