New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning - 6/5/22 NHL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY Sports
Tampa Bay Lightning (59-28-8) vs New York Rangers (62-28-8)
Game Info: Sunday, June 5, 2022 at 3:00 pm (Amalie Arena)
Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -171 / New York Rangers +154 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Tampa Bay Lightning host the New York Rangers in Sunday Western Conference Finals NHL Action
The New York Rangers will look to take a commanding 3-0 lead in their series vs Tampa Bay, as they are coming off a 3-2 win over the Lightning. On the season, the Rangers found the net 254 times, good for a rank of 16th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, New York is the 2nd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.49 goals per game. For the year, the Rangers have a strength of schedule rating of 24th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 9th-ranked team in the NHL.
The Lightning hope that the series shifting to Tampa Bay will bring better results, as they currently trail the series 2-0. On the season, the Lightning scored 287 goals, giving them an average of 3.48. This output gives them a rank of 8th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.78 goals per contest. For the year, the Lightning have played the 22nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 8th in the NHL.
Coming into this game, the New York Rangers leader in points is Artemi Panarin. In his team's 82 games, he has come up with 22 goals and 74 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 12.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus minus rating of +21.0. The team's top overall goal scorer is Chris Kreider. Of his 52 goals, 50.0% have come during power play time. New York's top goalie is Igor Shesterkin, who is giving up an average of 2.07 goals per game. In his 53 games played, he has turned in 38 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.
Through 82 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 106 points. He has reached his mark of 42 goals, with a shooting percentage of 17.4%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 65 assists to go along with his 20 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +26.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.49 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 39 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.
Heading into game 3, the over-under betting line is set at 5.5 goals. This comes after game 2, which finished with a combined total of 5 goals. Now, the series over-under record sits at 1-1. During the regular season, 2 of the 3 meetings between Tampa Bay and New York finished below 5.5 goals. I recommend taking the under in game 3.
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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals
AUTHOR: Joe Kiemen

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