St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche - 5/17/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche - 5/17/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports

Colorado Avalanche (60-19-7) vs St. Louis Blues (53-24-11)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 17, 2022 at 9:30 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -215 / St. Louis Blues +187 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Colorado Avalanche host the St. Louis Blues in Tuesday NHL Playoff Action.

The St. Louis Blues will look to continue their hot play, as they defeated Minnesota 4-2, while winning the final 3 games of the series. On the season, they found the net 311 times, good for a rank of 4th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, St. Louis is the 11th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.91 goals per game. For the year, the Blues had a strength of schedule rating of 28th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 5th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Colorado Avalanche are coming off a first-round sweep of the Nashville Predators and will look to pick up a home win to start the second round. During the regular season, the Avalanche scored 312 goals, giving them an average of 3.76. This output gives them a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. On defense, Colorado is the 7th ranked unit, giving up 2.83 goals per contest. During the regular season, they played the 26th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Colorado's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 3rd in the NHL.

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Through 75 games, the St. Louis Blues goal and overall scoring leader is Vladimir Tarasenko with 82 points. He has reached his mark of 34 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.8%. So far, 15.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Robert Thomas, who has 57 assists to go along with his 20 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +17.0. St. Louis's top goalie is Ville Husso, who is giving up an average of 2.56 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 75 games, the Colorado Avalanche's goal and overall scoring leader is Mikko Rantanen, with 92 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.2%. So far, 44.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Nathan MacKinnon, who has 56 assists to go along with his 32 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +22. Colorado's top goalie is Darcy Kuemper, who is giving up an average of 2.54 goals per game.In his 57 games played, he has turned in 32 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into this matchup, the over-under line sits at 6.5 goals. In their first-round series vs Nashville, the Avalanche averaged 5.25 goals per game. On the other side, the Blues averaged 3.6 goals in their series vs Minnesota. Look for game 1 to go over the line of 6.5 goals, as Colorado should continue their strong offensive play. During the regular season, St Louis was the 14th rated scoring defense, but given that they gave up an above average number of high-danger scoring chances, their expected goals allowed figure was 29th.

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Joe’s Pick Over 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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