Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames - 5/15/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames - 5/15/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Calgary Flames (53-24-11) vs Dallas Stars (49-33-6)

Game Info: Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 9:30 pm (Scotiabank Saddledome)

Betting Odds: Calgary Flames -180 / Dallas Stars +162 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Calgary Flames host the Dallas Stars in Sunday NHL Playoff Action.

The Dallas Stars head into game 7, looking to pick up their second straight win over Calgary, as they extend the series by a score of 4-2. On the season, they have found the net 238 times, good for a rank of 21st among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Dallas is the 13th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.98 goals per game. During the regular season, the Stars have a strength of schedule rating of 15th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 19th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Calgary Flames get set to host the Dallas Stars, hoping to finish off the series at home. This comes after falling to Dallas in game 6. Through 82 games, the Flames have scored 293 goals, giving them an average of 3.55. This output gives them a rank of 6th among NHL teams. On defense, Calgary is the 3rd ranked unit, giving up 2.51 goals per contest. So far, the Flames have played the 27th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Calgary's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 2nd in the NHL.

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Through 82 games, the Dallas Stars' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 38 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 79. On the season, he is turning 18.6% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 82 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 12.5%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 11.0 Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.53 goals per game. In his 48 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 82 games, Calgary's leading goal scorer is Matthew Tkachuk. With his 42 goals and 62 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 104. On the season, he is turning 16.6% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Flames have benefited from the strong play of Johnny Gaudreau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Calgary's 82 games, he has come up with 40 goals on a shooting percentage of 15.3%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus minus rating of +64. Calgary's top goalie is Jacob Markstrom, who is giving up an average of 2.22 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 38 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into this matchup, the over-under betting line sits at 5.5 goals. Before this crucial game 7, only 2 other games surpassed 5.5 goals. I recommend sticking with the trend and taking under, in what should be a tightly contested game 7.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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