Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars - 5/13/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars - 5/13/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (48-33-6) vs Calgary Flames (53-23-11)

Game Info: Friday, May 13, 2022 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars +150 / Calgary Flames -185 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Stars host the Calgary Flames in Friday NHL Playoff Action

The Calgary Flames are coming off a 3-1 win in game 5, giving them a chance to close out the Stars on the road. On the season, they have found the net 293 times, good for a rank of 6th among NHL teams.Heading into the game, Calgary is the 3rd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.51 goals per game. During the regular season, the Flames had a strength of schedule rating of 27th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 2nd ranked team in the NHL.

The Dallas Stars will look to push this first-round series to a game 7, as they stare down elimination. Through 82 games, the Stars have scored 238 goals, giving them an average of 2.84. This output gives them a rank of 21st among NHL teams. On defense, Dallas is the 13th ranked unit, giving up 2.98 goals per contest. During the regular season, the Stars have played the 15th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Dallas's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 19th in the NHL.

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Through 82 games, the Calgary Flames' leading goal scorer is Matthew Tkachuk. With his 62 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 104. On the season, he is turning 16.6% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Flames have benefited from the strong play of Johnny Gaudreau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Calgary's 82 games, he has come up with 40 goals on a shooting percentage of 15.3%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 64. Calgary's top goalie is Jacob Markstrom, who is giving up an average of 2.22 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 38 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 82 games, Dallas' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 41 goals and 38 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 79. On the season he is turning 18.6% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 82 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 12.5%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus minus rating of +11.0. Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.53 goals per game. In his 48 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into game 6, the over-under betting line sits at 5.5 goals. Throughout this series, each team's defenses have had their moments of excellence. In games 4 and 5, it was Calgary's turn, as they held Dallas to just 1 goal. I don't see any reason to fight the trend. I recommend taking the under.

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/28/22 | Ron's Rundown

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