Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals - 5/9/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals - 5/9/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Washington Capitals (46-27-12) vs Florida Panthers (59-20-6)

Game Info: Monday, May 9, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Capital One Arena)

Betting Odds: Washington Capitals +156 / Florida Panthers -173 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Washington Capitals host the Florida Panthers in Monday NHL Playoff Action.

The Florida Panthers come into this road contest looking get back on track after dropping game 3 by a score of 2-1. Heading into the game, Florida is the 13th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.95 goals per game. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 1st ranked team in the NHL.

The Washington Capitals will look to pick up their 3rd in this Eastern Conference playoff series against Florida. Through 82 games, the Capitals have scored 275 goals, giving them an average of 3.29. This output gives them a rank of 10th among NHL teams. On defense, Washington is the 12th-ranked unit, giving up 2.95 goals per contest. And, when taking into account Washington's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 13th in the NHL.

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Through 82 games, the Florida Panthers' leading goal scorer is Aleksander Barkov. With his 49 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 88. On the season, he is turning 18.2% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Panthers have benefited from the strong play of Jonathan Huberdeau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Florida's 82 games, he has come up with 30 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.5%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 35. Florida's top goalie is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is giving up an average of 2.67 goals per game. In his 54 games played, he has turned in 33 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 77 games, the Washington Capitals' goal and overall scoring leader is Alex Ovechkin, with 90 points. He has reached his mark of 50 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.0%. So far, 32.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Evgeny Kuznetsov, who has 54 assists to go along with his 24 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +7.0. Washington's top goalie is Ilya Samsonov, who is giving up an average of 3.02 goals per game. In his 44 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 33 percent of the time.

In Florida's 82 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 46-31-5. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing on the road, going just 19-20-2. On the season, 68.0% of Florida's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 57% of the scoring coming from the Panthers. In Washington's 82 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 45-33-4. So far, taking the over when the Capitals are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 23-15-3. On the season, 63.0% of Washington's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 52.0% of the scoring coming from the Capitals. This series has featured a lot of scoring, and I don't see this changing in game 4, I recommend the over.

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Joe’s Pick Over 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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