Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars - 5/9/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars - 5/9/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (48-31-6) vs Calgary Flames (51-23-11)

Game Info: Monday, May 9, 2022 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars +123 / Calgary Flames -152 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Stars host the Calgary Flames in Monday NHL Playoff Action.

The Calgary Flames come into this road contest looking to get back on track after falling to Dallas by a score of 4-2. On the season, they have found the net 293 times, good for a rank of 6th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Calgary is the 3rd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.51 goals per game. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 2nd ranked team in the NHL.

The Dallas Stars get set to host the Calgary Flames, looking to go up 3 games to 1, after rattling off two straight wins in this series. Through 82 games, the Stars have scored 238 goals, giving them an average of 2.84. This output gives them a rank of 21st among NHL teams. On defense, Dallas is the 13th ranked unit, giving up 2.98 goals per contest. When taking into account Dallas's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 19th in the NHL.

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Through 82 games, the Calgary Flames' leading goal scorer is Matthew Tkachuk. With his 62 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 104. On the season, he is turning 16.6% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Flames have benefited from the strong play of Johnny Gaudreau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Calgary's 82 games, he has come up with 40 goals on a shooting percentage of 15.3%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 64. Calgary's top goalie is Jacob Markstrom, who is giving up an average of 2.22 goals per game. In his 63 games played, he has turned in 38 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 82 games, Dallas' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 41 goals and 38 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 79. On the season, he is turning 18.6% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 82 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 12.5%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus minus rating of +11.0. Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.53 goals per game. In his 48 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Calgary's 82 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 40-37-5. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing on the road, going just 19-20-2. On the season 61.0% of Calgary's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 59.0% of the scoring coming from the Flames. Coming into this game, the Stars have an over-under record of 36-44-2. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 19-22. On the season 46.0% of Dallas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 51.0% of the scoring coming from the Stars. Look for goals to continue to be hard to come by as this matchup falls below the posted betting line of 5.5 goals.

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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