Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders - 4/29/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

New York Islanders (36-34-10) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (50-22-8)

Game Info: Friday, April 29, 2022 at 7:30 pm (UBS Arena)

Betting Odds: New York Islanders +148 / Tampa Bay Lightning -185 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Islanders host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Friday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 50-22-8. Through 80 games, the Lightning are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 279 times, good for a rank of 8th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 5th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.74 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 18th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 6th-ranked team in the NHL.

The New York Islanders get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 36-34-10. This mark places them 5th in the Metropolitan division. Through 80 games, the Islanders have scored 222 goals, giving them an average of 2.75. This output gives them a rank of 26th among NHL teams. On defense, New York is the 8th ranked unit, giving up 2.8 goals per contest. So far, the Islanders have played the 21st toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account New York's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 20th in the NHL.

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Through 79 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 101 points. He has reached his mark of 39 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.8%. So far, 41.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 62 assists to go along with his 20 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +26.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.46 goals per game.In his 62 games played, he has turned in 39 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 70 games, the New York Islanders' goal and overall scoring leader is Brock Nelson, with 58 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 21.8%. So far, 28% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mathew Barzal, who has 40 assists to go along with his 15 goals. However, when on the ice, the Islanders are -15 in scoring differential. New York's top goalie is Ilya Sorokin, who is giving up an average of 2.35 goals per game.

In Tampa Bay's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 42-38. So far, taking the over when the Lightning are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 21-18.On the season, 55.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Coming into this game, the Islanders have an over-under record of 38-40-1. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 16-21-1.On the season, 50.0% of New York's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 46.0% of the scoring coming from the Islanders. On the season, both the Islanders and Lightning have benefited from outstanding goalie play, ranking 5th and 11th in save percentage. Even with a line set at just 5.5 goals, I still recommend the under.

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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