Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers - 4/29/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Philadelphia Flyers (25-45-11) vs Ottawa Senators (32-41-7)

Game Info: Friday, April 29, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Wells Fargo Center)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Flyers -128 / Ottawa Senators +105 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Flyers host the Ottawa Senators in Friday NHL Action.

The Ottawa Senators come into this road contest with an overall record of 32-41-7. Through 80 games, the Senators are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 223 times, good for a rank of 25th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Ottawa is the 22nd-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.23 goals per game. So far, the Senators have a strength of schedule rating of 10th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 22nd-ranked team in the NHL.

The Philadelphia Flyers get set to host the Ottawa Senators with an overall record of 25-45-11. This mark places them 8th in the Metropolitan division. Through 81 games, the Flyers have scored 209 goals, giving them an average of 2.57. This output gives them a rank of 31st among NHL teams. On defense, Philadelphia is the 28th ranked unit, giving up 3.58 goals per contest. So far, the Flyers have played the 2nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Philadelphia's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 30th in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the Ottawa Senators leader in points is Brady Tkachuk. In his team's 80 games, he has come up with 29 goals and 36 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 10.5%. However, when on the ice, the Senators are --7.0 in scoring differential. The team's top overall goal scorer is Joshua Norris. Of his 34 goals, 47.0% have come during power play time. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.84 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has turned in 28 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 81 games, Philadelphia's leading goal scorer is Cam Atkinson. With his 23 goals and 27 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 50. On the season, he is turning 10.7% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Flyers have benefited from the strong play of Travis Konecny, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Philadelphia's 81 games, he has come up with 16 goals on a shooting percentage of 7.4%. However, when on the ice, the Flyers are -22 in scoring differential. Philadelphia's top goalie is Carter Hart, who is giving up an average of 3.16 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 47 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 33-43-4. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 14-22-4. On the season, 47.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 45.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators. In Philadelphia's 81 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 41-38-2. So far, taking the over when the Flyers are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 23-17. On the season, 56.0% of Philadelphia's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 43.0% of the scoring coming from the Flyers. Even though both the Flyers and Senators have below-average goalie units, each team's offense has struggled throughout the year. I like the under in this matchup.

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Joe’s Pick Under 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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