Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs - 4/29/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs - 4/29/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (53-21-7) vs Boston Bruins (50-25-5)

Game Info: Friday, April 29, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -145 / Boston Bruins +117 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Boston Bruins in Friday NHL Action.

The Boston Bruins come into this road contest with an overall record of 50-25-5. Through 80 games, the Bruins are 4th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 248 times, good for a rank of 16th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Boston is the 4th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.66 goals per game. So far, the Bruins have a strength of schedule rating of 27th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 13th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Boston Bruins with an overall record of 53-21-7. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 81 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 310 goals, giving them an average of 3.79. This output gives them a rank of 2nd among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 19th-ranked unit, giving up 3.09 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the easiest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 7th in the NHL.

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Through 80 games, the Boston Bruins' leading goal scorer is David Pastrnak. With his 36 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 75. On the season, he is turning 12.7% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Bruins have benefited from the strong play of Brad Marchand, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Boston's 80 games, he has come up with 32 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.3%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 13. Boston's top goalie is Linus Ullmark, who is giving up an average of 2.51 goals per game.

Through 73 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs' goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 106 points. He has reached his mark of 60 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.2%. So far, 27.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 62 assists to go along with his 35 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +23. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.64 goals per game. In his 49 games played, he has turned in 28 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Bruins have an over-under record of 35-39-6. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 17-20-3. On the season, 53.0% of Boston's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Bruins. In Toronto's 81 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 44-31-5. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 17-20-3. On the season, 68.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. Even though both Toronto and Boston's goalie units have below-average save percentages, they each have expected goals allowed figures in the top 10. Look for the defensive units to play better than expected, keeping this game below 5.5 goals.


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Joe’s Pick Under 6 Goals

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