Washington Capitals at New York Islanders - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

New York Islanders (36-34-10) vs Washington Capitals (44-24-12)

Game Info: Thursday, April 28, 2022 at 7:00 pm (UBS Arena)

Betting Odds: New York Islanders +110 / Washington Capitals -135 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Islanders host the Washington Capitals in Thursday NHL Action.The Washington Capitals come into this road contest with an overall record of 44-24-12. Through 80 games, the Capitals are 4th in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 272 times, good for a rank of 9th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Washington is the 13th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.93 goals per game. So far, the Capitals have a strength of schedule rating of 23rd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 12th-ranked team in the NHL.

The New York Islanders get set to host the Washington Capitals with an overall record of 36-34-10. This mark places them 5th in the Metropolitan division. Through 80 games, the Islanders have scored 222 goals, giving them an average of 2.75. This output gives them a rank of 26th among NHL teams. On defense, New York is the 8th ranked unit, giving up 2.8 goals per contest. So far, the Islanders have played the 22nd most challenging schedule in the league. And, when taking into account New York's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 20th in the NHL.

Through 77 games, the Washington Capitals goal and overall scoring leader is Alex Ovechkin with 90 points. He has reached his mark of 50 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.0%. So far, 32.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Evgeny Kuznetsov, who has 53 assists to go along with his 24 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +8.0. Washington's top goalie is Ilya Samsonov, who is giving up an average of 3.02 goals per game. In his 43 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 0.0 percent of the time.

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Through 70 games, the New York Islanders' goal and overall scoring leader is Brock Nelson, with 58 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 21.8%. So far, 28% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mathew Barzal, who has 40 assists to go along with his 15 goals. However, when on the ice, the Islanders are -15 in scoring differential. New York's top goalie is Ilya Sorokin, who is giving up an average of 2.35 goals per game. In his 51 games played, he has turned in 37 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Washington's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 45-32-3. So far, taking the over when the Capitals are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 22-17. On the season, 64.0% of Washington's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Capitals. Coming into this game, the Islanders have an over-under record of 38-40-1. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 16-21-1. On the season, 50.0% of New York's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 46.0% of the scoring coming from the Islanders. Even though the Islanders have a strong goalie group, I see this matchup going over 6 goals, as the Capitals should have a strong offensive performance, helping to push this game over the betting line.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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