Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Colorado Avalanche (56-18-6) vs Nashville Predators (44-29-7)

Game Info: Thursday, April 28, 2022 at 9:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -238 / Nashville Predators +190 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Colorado Avalanche host the Nashville Predators in Thursday NHL Action.

The Nashville Predators come into this road contest with an overall record of 44-29-7. Through 80 games, the Predators are 4th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 257 times, good for a rank of 12th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Nashville is the 16th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.01 goals per game. So far, the Predators have a strength of schedule rating of 14th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 14th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Colorado Avalanche get set to host the Nashville Predators with an overall record of 56-18-6. This mark places them 1st in the Central division. Through 80 games, the Avalanche have scored 307 goals, giving them an average of 3.79. This output gives them a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. On defense, Colorado is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.8 goals per contest. So far, the Avalanche have played the 31st toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Colorado's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 3rd in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the Nashville Predators leader in points is Roman Josi. In his team's 80 games, he has come up with 22 goals and 71 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 8.1%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +12.0. The team's top overall goal scorer is Filip Forsberg. Of his 42 goals, 24.0% have come during power play time. Nashville's top goalie is Juuse Saros, who is giving up an average of 2.64 goals per game. In his 67 games played, he has turned in 43 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 73 games, the Colorado Avalanche's goal and overall scoring leader is Mikko Rantanen, with 91 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.5%. So far, 44.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Nathan MacKinnon, who has 56 assists to go along with his 32 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +24. Colorado's top goalie is Darcy Kuemper, who is giving up an average of 2.52 goals per game. In his 56 games played, he has turned in 32 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Nashville's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 47-33. So far, taking the over when the Predators are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 28-11. On the season, 59.0% of Nashville's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 51.0% of the scoring coming from the Predators. In Colorado's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 43-35-2. So far, taking the over when the Avalanche are playing at home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 21-18-1. On the season, 60.0% of Colorado's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 58% of the scoring coming from the Avalanche. I expect this matchup to fall below the line of 6.5 goals, as this game features the 2nd and 4th ranked goalie unit in terms of save percentage.

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Joe’s Pick Under 6.5 Goals

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