Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

Ottawa Senators (32-41-7) vs Florida Panthers (57-17-6)

Game Info: Thursday, April 28, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)

Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators +234 / Florida Panthers -303 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Ottawa Senators host the Florida Panthers in Thursday NHL Action.

The Florida Panthers come into this road contest with an overall record of 57-17-6. Through 80 games, the Panthers are 1st in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 334 times, good for a rank of 1st among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Florida is the 12th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.9 goals per game. So far, the Panthers have a strength of schedule rating of 30th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 1st ranked team in the NHL.

The Ottawa Senators get set to host the Florida Panthers with an overall record of 32-41-7. This mark places them 7th in the Atlantic division. Through 80 games, the Senators have scored 223 goals, giving them an average of 2.75. This output gives them a rank of 25th among NHL teams. On defense, Ottawa is the 22nd-ranked unit, giving up 3.23 goals per contest. So far, the Senators have played the 12th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Ottawa's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 22nd in the NHL.

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Through 80 games, the Florida Panthers' leading goal scorer is Aleksander Barkov. With his 49 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 88. On the season, he is turning 18.2% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Panthers have benefited from the strong play of Jonathan Huberdeau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Florida's 80 games, he has come up with 30 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.5%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 35. Florida's top goalie is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is giving up an average of 2.67 goals per game. In his 54 games played, he has turned in 33 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Ottawa Senators leader in points is Brady Tkachuk. In Ottawa's 80 games, he has come up with 29 goals and 36 assists. He has scored his goals with a shooting percentage of 10.5%. The team's top overall goal scorer is Joshua Norris. Of his 34 goals, 47.0% have come during power play time. However, when on the ice, the Senators are -7.0 in scoring differential. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.84 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has turned in 28 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Florida's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 45-30-5. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing on the road, going just 18-19-2. On the season, 69.0% of Florida's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 58% of the scoring coming from the Panthers. Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 33-43-4. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 19-21. On the season, 47.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 45.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators. Even though the Panthers come into this matchup as an elite scoring unit, I recommend taking the under, as Ottawa is going to have problems contributing enough scoring, as they are the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NHL.

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Joe’s Pick Under 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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